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DLF’s Weekly Impact Events

 

Much like us here at DLF, there really is no offseason in the NFL. Even after the dramatic conclusion of the Super Bowl and the MVP’s trip to Disney World, the day-to-day business of the league continues. This means you should be paying attention to give yourself every advantage in your dynasty league. For most of us, we do well to steal some time away from our families and jobs to watch the games on Sunday. It becomes difficult to monitor the daily happenings around the league, and even more demanding to process how that news affects your dynasty team.

That’s why we’re here!

Here is a quick look at the events of the past week and how they impact the players on your team.

Brandon Tate, WR CIN

Bengals offensive coordinator Jay Gruden singled out Tate, calling him one of the best surprises of camp. Tate has seen plenty of time with the first team and is battling rookies Mohamed Sanu and Marvin Jones for the starting spot opposite top receiver AJ Green. Tate is not someone I would add to my roster yet, but the WR2 in the explosive Bengals offense is certainly worthy of consideration. If your league rewards points for punt and kickoff return yardage, Tate is surely already rostered. If not, grab him immediately.

Matt Forte, RB CHI

The offseason has not been kind to the Bears starting running back. He has been unable to come to terms with the team on a long term contract and the team chose to sign one of the top free agent running backs, Michael Bush as a backup and as Forte insurance. There are recent reports that Forte is feeling optimistic about his contract negotiations with the team. Both the holdout and the Bush signing are having an affect on Forte’s dynasty value. Even though he averaged over 18 fantasy points per game in 2011, Forte’s stock is falling. He is now a late second or early third rounder in startup drafts and is not drawing near the return in trades he did a few months ago.

Maurice Jones-Drew, RB JAX

Unlike Forte, there is little to be happy about in Jacksonville where star running back Maurice Jones-Drew continues to hold out. Many fear he may miss not only the preseason, but even regular season games. Like Forte, Jones-Drew has lost some dynasty value during this process. Every day that passes without a new contract increases the value of backup Rashad Jennings, who is coming off a season ending injury in 2011. It has been mentioned here before, but acquire Jennings sooner, rather than later if you are a Jones-Drew owner. Even if there are no missed games by the starter, Jennings serves as a quality handcuff.

Deonte Thompson, WR BAL

Undrafted rookie Deonte Thompson has been drawing some praise from Baltimore coaches and local beat writers and has reportedly outperformed fellow rookie Tommy Streeter. Torrey Smith and Anquan Boldin will be the starters for the Ravens and veteran free agent signee Jacoby Jones will have a role as well. Beyond that, spots are open on the depth chart for Thompson in his competition with Streeter and Tandon Doss, among others. Thompson is another wide receiver like others mentioned in this column who is not yet worthy of a roster spot on your dynasty league, but should be monitored as he progresses during training camp.

Tarvaris Jackson, QB SEA

According to a report from ESPN’s John Clayton, the Seattle Seahawks will enter training camp with Jackson atop their quarterback depth chart, ahead of free agent signee Matt Flynn and rookie Russell Wilson. While this is likely just a case of the newcomers not yet unseating the most recent starter, it is a cause for concern, specifically for Flynn. After signing a sizable free agent contract, everyone assumed the starting job would be his to lose. He still has training camp to earn the job, but has his work cut out for him. Jackson still has very little dynasty value as his time as a starting quarterback has not been productive. Flynn is losing some value he may have had as well. The most valuable dynasty asset might be the one with the least chance to earn the starting role, the rookie from Wisconsin.

Anthony Fasano, TE MIA

Reports this week suggest that Fasano’s role with the team could be diminished as his skills do not fit well in the offense of new head coach Joe Philbin. Fasano has never flashed elite skills, but has been a serviceable fantasy tight end, finishing as TE9, TE26, TE17 and TE21 over the past four seasons with the Dolphins. Expect rookie Michael Egnew, who has much more athleticism than Fasano to earn the role as the pass catching tight end in Philbin’s fast paced offense. Fasano is not worth rostering in dynasty leagues, while Egnew is a great sleeper to take a chance on this season.

Hakeem Nicks, WR NYG

We got an update on Nicks’ foot injury this week from the star wide receiver himself. Nicks told reporters he has already resumed running and that he plans to be on the field for training camp. Injured players almost always err on the positive side of their prognosis, but fantasy owners hope Nicks is correct in his estimation. Even if he does miss portions of training camp or preseason game action, Nicks is expected back by week one of the regular season. While a few owners sold Nicks at a discounted price, his dynasty value remains very high and will only maintain or even increase as the season approaches.

Tim Hightower, RB WAS

There continue to be reports, both local and national, that the Redskins plan to start veteran Tim Hightower at running back. Hightower was off to a great start last season before sustaining the season ending ACL tear and now head coach Mike Shanahan hopes he can pick up where he left off. This is much to the dismay of dynasty owners who were counting on Roy Helu to start for Washington and their own fantasy teams. It is impossible to predict how Shanahan will handle the running back rotation, but it is safe to assume that whoever starts will produce solid numbers. Hightower remains on the waiver wire in many dynasty leagues and now is the time to add him. Although Helu has many fans and believers, it is difficult to invest in him at this point. As his value drops, his owners have only one choice, hold him and hope he earns the starting job away from Hightower.

Adrian Peterson, RB MIN

Much of the news regarding Adrian Peterson’s recovery from a torn ACL and MCL has been positive throughout the offseason. This week, the Minnesota coaching staff explained that Peterson is a candidate to begin training camp on the PUP list. This is not the same PUP list that would keep Peterson out the first six weeks of the regular season, but it is one of the first negative signs that Peterson is not back to the stud running back of old quite yet. Peterson’s dynasty value remains very high as he is coming off the board in the third round and being counted on by dynasty owners everywhere. Just in case Peterson does miss regular season action, acquiring backup Toby Gerhart is an easy way to provide yourself with insurance.

Rob Gronkowski, TE NE

Another star player who could miss some action in training camp is the Patriots stud tight end Rob Gronkowski, who continues to recover from ankle surgery. The news has been quiet much of the offseason regarding this injury and there is no real cause for concern yet. Gronkowski remains a top two option at tight end, along with the Saints’ Jimmy Graham.

Check back next week for another update on the week’s impact events!

Follow Ryan McDowell on Twitter @RyanMc23

Ryan McDowell
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Adam Franssen
10 years ago

Good stuff as usual, Ryan. I’m starting to get twitchy about MJD. I have an offer of Ryan Matthews for MJD and Jordy…starting to think I should take it.

James Young
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
10 years ago

Wow.. That person could end up regretting not taking that one. They must either have a thin bench or believe Lynch is going to maintain value long term.

Also, I cosign with Ryan on the Matthews-MJD/Jordy deal. Try asking for something back. A 2nd or 3rd rounder would do it for me. But Im a big Matthews believer.

Adam Franssen
Reply to  James Young
10 years ago

Thanks, guys. I’ll see if I can tack on his 2.03.

Reply to  Adam Franssen
10 years ago

i’m assumin g you’re getting mathews according to the post? yes by all means take it. if mjd does hold out you’d lose out on his production anyways, and at that rate all you would be giving is jordy for mathews?????? mathews can be a top 5 rb. take it and run. remember, don’t look back for fear of turning into a pillar of salt as punishment for your sinful trade

sean mcguigan
10 years ago

Good Article Shanny is an idiot Helu far more talented than Hightower…..probably turns into a rotation like KC will be imploying with Hillis softening up defenses with bruising runs and than Charles coming in….15 touch range for Charles and Helu which is dissappointing but both are explosive enough to make those 15 count…..Helu still the back you want to own in DC but this hightower news is a tad discouraging…..they will run it a ton though 35 carries should be the norm with rookie QB and not a lot of weapons on outside.

RickyD
Reply to  sean mcguigan
10 years ago

Comparing Helu with Charles? Really?

ScottD
10 years ago

The MJD situation doesn’t look good. All the items are in place for a lengthy holdout.
1) Quality Veteran Player (check)
2) Current value of projected future production > contract(check)
3) Contract has 2+ season remaining (check)
4) Prior contract benefit has been paid 22/31mm (check)
5) Bad Team (check)

What is Jax’s incentive to restructure here? By the time they are going to be good, MJD will be in his decline phase. MJD has little hope of getting Jax to budge here, but knows this is his only chance to get paid. I foresee a lengthy holdout and I’m an MJD owner.

Boobam13 *
Reply to  ScottD
10 years ago

Any scenario they trade him to a team like Denver or Cincy or a team on the verge of making a run?

john harstad
10 years ago

No reason to move MJD?
I say trade him for what you can get!
Jags won’t contend any time soon so it’s time to start planning for the future.

Ryan McDowell
Reply to  john harstad
10 years ago

I understand your point, but things change quickly in the NFL and many teams go from worst to first in a year or two. Veteran RBs can play a big part in that. I still think the best they would get is a 3rd or 4th rounder. I doubt they would consider that deal. He is the face of their franchise.

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