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DLF’s Weekly Impact Events

Much like us here at DLF, there really is no offseason in the NFL. Even after the dramatic conclusion of the Super Bowl and the MVP’s trip to Disney World, the day-to-day business of the league continues. This means you should be paying attention to give yourself every advantage in your dynasty league. For most of us, we do well to steal some time away from our families and jobs to watch the games on Sunday. It becomes difficult to monitor the daily happenings around the league, and even more demanding to process how that news affects your dynasty team.

That’s why we’re here!

Here is a quick look at the Events of the past week and how they impact the players on your team:

Ronnie Hillman, RB DEN

The rookie running back who has received much hype from dynasty league players since he was drafted by the Broncos has been running as the fourth running back in some team drills. For years, we wondered when John Fox would give the young and talented running back Jonathan Stewart a chance to shine and we have yet to see that. Now that Fox is in Denver, it is possible there will be a repeat. However, likely starter Willis McGahee does not have as many years left as the Panthers DeAngelo Williams did upon Stewart’s arrival. This could just be a cue for dynasty owners to temper expectations for Hillman under Fox, at least in his first season. Hillman is still worth a shot in the early second round of rookie drafts.

Adam Weber, QB DEN

In a surprise move, widely unknown Adam Weber, a second year quarterback from the University of Minnesota ended the team’s minicamp as the #2 quarterback, ahead of offseason signee Caleb Hanie and rookie Brock Osweiler. It is no surprise that Hanie has been unimpressive and many have labeled Osweiler as raw and a project. That leaves Weber, the only holdover from last year’s team. The backup quarterback will have a small amount of short term value until starter Peyton Manning proves he is healthy, but Weber is not yet worth a roster spot in any dynasty league. Osweiler still has more value as the expected incumbent once Manning calls it a career.

Chris Givens, WR NO

It seems that each week there is another young wide receiver being hyped as the next breakout star to come from nowhere, like Marques Colston and Victor Cruz. Our job as dynasty owners is to take in all the possible information about these players and make a decision about which are the real deal and which are just pretenders. This week, the New Orleans Saints Chris Givens is getting much of the attention from local beat writers, who claim that he is gaining on Adrian Arrington and Devery Henderson. The Saints sure have a lot of wide receiving options and have proven in the past that as many as three or four of their pass catchers can provide fantasy value. I am not sure how much talent is really there at wide receiver with Henderson, Lance Moore, Arrington, Joseph Morgan and rookie Nick Toon filling out the depth chart. Henderson and Moore have had solid years in the past, but the true battle will be for the fourth wide receiver spot and Givens has a shot. He has been getting a lot of action in the red zone as the Saints look to find a replacement for their top scoring wide receiver Robert Meachem. Again, Givens is not worth picking up yet, but this is a situation to watch closely.

Stephen Burton, WR MIN

Another young wide receiver who stood out during OTAs is second year man for the Vikings, Stephen Burton. Burton did little as a rookie in 2011, collecting only two catches in three games played, but there is opportunity in Minnesota. The Vikings wide receiver depth chart actually resembles the aforementioned Saints. After the solid WR1, Percy Harvin, the Vikings are filled with disappointing veterans (Michael Jenkins, Devin Aromashodu) and unproven youngsters (Jarius Wright, Greg Childs, Burton). This means it would not be surprising if one of the young players claimed the third wide receiver spot and ran with it. Most assume it will be Childs, but we should be monitoring Burton at this point.

Rashard Mendenhall, RB PIT

What we all have expected for some time is closer to becoming a reality after this week. It appears that injured running back Rashard Mendenhall will start the 2012 season on the PUP list, meaning he would miss at least the first six games of the regular season. Mendehall is coming off a week 17 ACL tear and his dynasty value obviously took a huge hit. Most assume Isaac Redman to earn the starting role to begin the season and he could claim it for much longer with solid play.  Mendenhall is only 25 years old and will have plenty of interest should his tenure in Pittsburgh come to a close. Now is a great time to buy in dynasty leagues. He can likely be acquired for a second round pick and a prospect.

AJ Jenkins, WR SF

The news can’t all be good for young wide receivers – rookie AJ Jenkins continues to struggle in OTAs and minicamp workouts. He has been practicing with the third team wide receivers, placing him sixth at best on the depth chart. For a team that worked hard this offseason to improve their wide receiving corps, adding Randy Moss and Mario Manningham, Jenkins is digging himself a deep hole. It is still early, but Jenkins will have to turn this around and have a strong training camp to secure playing time and maintain fantasy value. He is likely falling to the early third round of late rookie drafts and is worth taking a risk on at that point.

Diondre Borel, WR GB

I just wanted to share a quick update following the news last week about Borel. The Green Bay Press-Gazette now expects the Packers to keep six wide receivers. Borel would compete with Tori Gurley for the final spot on the depth chart. With Donald Driver wrapping up his Packer career and James Jones evidently on the trading block, now is the time to stash Borel in your deep dynasty league. In smaller leagues, you still have time to wait, but it is very doubtful he passes Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson or Randall Cobb anytime soon. Green Bay is another offense that can support up to four fantasy relevant wide receivers.

Mewelde Moore, RB IND

The veteran runner Moore signed with the Colts this week, reuniting with his offensive coordinator in Pittsburgh, Bruce Arians. Moore has always been an under the radar running back, excelling in third down situations. While he is very unlikely to have a fantasy impact, the signing says more about the Colts feelings about current running backs Donald Brown and Delone Carter, even though head coach Chuck Pagano has called Brown an every down back. Brown’s value has been increasing as it seems more and more likely he will be handed the starter’s job, while second year backup Delone Carter has lost nearly all of his value after a disappointing rookie season. I would avoid all running backs on the Colts as none of those are the long term answer and all could struggle as the team plays from behind for much of the 2012 season.

Cedric Benson, RB FA

This week there was a rumor (an Adam Schefter report, that is), that the Raiders were interested in signing veteran running back Cedric Benson. This move would be somewhat of a surprise as nearly all of the news regarding the Raiders’ backup runners, Mike Goodson and Taiwan Jones, has been positive this offseason. Though with Darren McFadden as the starter, the team has to be sure they have done their due diligence and are happy with their running back depth chart, as an injury to McFadden would surprise no one. Many owners are still holding onto Benson, hoping he lands in a plum spot to receive carries.

Eddie Royal, WR SD

Yet another wide receiver earning beat writer praise is free agent signee Eddie Royal. The Chargers have made some changes to their wide receiver depth chart following the loss of Vincent Jackson to the Buccaneers. They brought in both Royal and Robert Meachem to add to holdovers Malcom Floyd and Vincent Brown. Many assume that Meachem will be the star from this foursome, but it is very hard to predict. Quarterback Philip Rivers will continue to look to tight end Antonio Gates in the end zone, while Meachem will provide the deep threat and is a huge scoring threat on any given play. Royal has proven he can work well from multiple wide receiver positions and had great success in Denver his rookie season. Many owners still value Brown highly in dynasty leagues despite a quiet rookie season, but Royal is a much cheaper option and could outscore Brown and Floyd. If Royal is sitting on your waiver wire, scoop him up now.

Percy Harvin, WR MIN

The talented Viking wide receiver has requested the team trade him. Although Harvin does have a modest salary over the next two years, many seem to think that money is not the issue here, but rather a discontentment with the team. Harvin famously (among fantasy circles at least) received far less playing time than expected in 2011, participating in just over 50% of the team’s offensive plays. Fans immediately began dreaming up possible trade scenarios, but the Vikings cannot afford to trade Harvin for anything less than a high first round pick. Harvin reportedly has no plans to hold out of training camp and he remains a strong WR2 option for your dynasty team.

TJ Graham, WR BUF

The Bills rookie wide receiver has looked strong and is battling Donald Jones for the starting spot opposite Stevie Johnson. Even though the Bills drafted Graham in the tjird round, he has been widely ignored even in dynasty leagues. As I said last week, it seems that each year there is a Bills wide receiver being overhyped and ultimately, disappointing his owners. The Bills have yet to prove the offense can support two fantasy relevant wide receivers. With that said, I would take a chance on rostering Graham in my deep dynasty league with the chance his speed pays off and provides a new dimension to the Bills offense. We have more on the Bills in this week’s premium content as well.

Check back next week for another update on the week’s impact events!

Follow Ryan McDowell on Twitter @RyanMc23

Ryan McDowell
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Buddy
10 years ago

Givens is on the Rams?

Brian
Reply to  Buddy
10 years ago

Different Chris Givens.

Richard Smith
10 years ago

After the Givens gaff, you have to wonder how much validity this article has.

Richard Smith
10 years ago

Chris Givens is a Saint WR. Guess I am the one who made the gaff as I forgot about this Givens.

Craig
10 years ago

Please review the rookies before commenting, there are 2 rookies at the wide receiver position this year with the name of Chris Givens. One is in STL and one is in NO.

Rob
10 years ago

“After the Givens gaff, you have to wonder how much validity this article has.”

Not sure how this comment helps. What does the comment above achieve? Does it add to the article in ANY way? Does it give insight to other possible scenarios unfolding in the NFL, like the article provides? No, it doesn’t bring anything to the table.

Folks writing these articles are taking their time and giving effort in order to help and inform a community of dynasty enthusiasts.

The comment only reveals that the intentions of the poster was to “call-out” the author and nothing more. If someone wants to discuss a possible error, first, do your homework. Second, if you’re too lazy to do the homework, ask a question. There is a little thing called tact. It goes a long way.

ggeorge
Reply to  Rob
10 years ago

Thanks Rob. No need to one up anyone here. We’re all on the same team…

Wayne
10 years ago

I’m glad I read the comments before I posted. I too didn’t remember there are two rookies named Chris Givens that play WR in the NFL this season.
Oh well the Steve Smiths can’t have all the fun.

sixshooter
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
10 years ago

LOL….just goes to show that he truly has very deep sleeper potential. I honestly thought you were referring to Nick Toon until I saw his name later in the comment. Could be interesting how the WR corp in New Orleans turn out.

KeyserSoze
10 years ago

And I suppose Mike Williams plays for Seattle and not Tampa. Or Steve Smith plays for the Rams and not the Titans. I thought readers of this site were more versed in NFL players

Cody
Reply to  KeyserSoze
10 years ago

Lol you have no room to talk man, there is no Steve Smith on the titans.. that would be the Panthers. Get more versed on your NFL players!!!

Joe Schmo
Reply to  KeyserSoze
10 years ago

How much troll fail can we fit into one comments section?

Raymond
10 years ago

I can pick up Diondre Borel on the wire in my league. Should i drop joesph morgan or andre holmes to get him? I know all three are deep sleepers but what player do you see producing before the other..

Boobam13 *
10 years ago

^ totally agree with this one, I have like 20 sleeper wrs but can only roster a couple…I need bigger rosters!

FWIW – I have Borel and Morgan over Holmes – the Dallas situation isnt clear, like the other 2 are, but I think Coale is going to be the winner in that deal when it is all said and done.

I know another name to keep an eye on!

Reply to  Boobam13 *
10 years ago

watch the coale and holmes situation very close in dallas. i have been doing so myself going on the dallas site daily. what i’ve read recently is that when they go to a 3 wr offense that austin will definitly play the slot and that they love holmes’ height and size better for the outside. he is very athletic and great leaping ability. good hands also. they like coale as a backup slot for austin. that would probably give holmes the better chance at being the well sought after #3 wr in dallas? this is what i’m gathering so far out of dallas. camp will be a battle no doubt. harris, radway, and ogeltree will also battle. they have a couple of udfas that could be special team consideration. my bet is dallas goes 5-6 wrs in dez, austin, holmes, coale, harris/ogeltree in that order.

Raymond
10 years ago

even though our league has a 60 man roster, It seems like all the time there is a new sleeper popping up all the time! we have to cut our roster down to 53 by mid july for the draft i was just wondeing who to keep or not. If you have another name lets hear it!

Adam
Reply to  Raymond
10 years ago

there are players left on the market after rostering 53? lol thats crazy

Boobam13 *
Reply to  Raymond
10 years ago

Danny Coale
TJ Graham
Ricardo Lockette

just to name a few

sixshooter
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
10 years ago

Sweet! I think this is the first I have seen Deonte Thompson’s name mentioned but maybe not. Either way….glad to see his name on your list. I just posted a comment on him on the Hidden Treasures article. Also asked if anyone heard anything about the RB Brandon Bolden who is currently with the Patriots.

Ryan McDowell
Reply to  sixshooter
10 years ago

Very nearly included Bolden, but considering the Pats will likely have Vereen/Ridley/Woodhead/Addai active each week, Bolden is practice squad bound if he does well in camp. He seems to be a year away at least, but many of these guys are.

sixshooter
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
10 years ago

Yeah, that is pretty much the same take I gave on Thompson in my other post. Too much depth to overcome for at least a year or two but ya never know.

Thompson is competing with veteran Boldin, new free agent Jacoby Jones, up and coming Torrey Smith fellow rookie Tommie Streeter and Tandon Doss who is getting some praise already this offseason. Not to mention the questionable David Reed.

Raymond
10 years ago

Yeah i know, i hear that alot lol..but you can stll find some players on there

Raymond
10 years ago

two out of the three are on our wire.. damn i just dont know who to drop lol! i picked up Diondre Borel now im trying to figure out who to drop holmes or morgan.

Reply to  Raymond
10 years ago

hang onto holmes from dallas. he will be the #3 man from what i hear out of dallas camp so far. they love him. jerry loves him for sure, so that might say it better.

Frank The Tank
10 years ago

you’re killing me with the Mendenhall advice!!!…im trying to acquire him in a couple of my leagues and now that you put him into this article I’ll never get him!!! haha

bbwayne
10 years ago

Great work on the wr finds. More to add to the watch list. Cant get this anywhere else.

Admin
Reply to  bbwayne
10 years ago

Music to our ears!

packer11491
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
10 years ago

nice

10 years ago

also like the info about benson going to the raiders. this info was surfacing actually a while back as well, but now its starting to get fuel to the fire again. he has good repore with palmer from their days in cinncy, and could work well in that offense if he is called upon in an inevitable mcfadden injury? he is more of a proven “workhorse” type of back than jones or goodson are? i have mcfadden, so he maybe a handcuff for me if he signs?

sixshooter
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
10 years ago

They pretty much have to be concerned about McFadden’s ability to stay healthy. Have heard good things last year and this year about Taiwan but not much on Goodson. They are basically looking at replacing Bush with Benson which looks to be a smart decision if they do!

sixshooter
10 years ago

I think it is a good thing that you took away from the AJ Jenkins hype a little because I have definitely read more negative reviews on him than I have positive. He may come around but it will take time as he is buried on the depth chart right now!

sixshooter
Reply to  sixshooter
10 years ago

Same can be said about Ronnie Hillman. I believe that he has the potential but there is another young RB (2nd year) in Denver named Mario Fannin who was receiving much praise in Denver until he suffered an injury in preseason which landed him on IR.

Ryan McDowell
Reply to  sixshooter
10 years ago

Thanks, I still like Jenkins as a guy t invest in, especially if his earlier inflated price is coming down to Earth. But, he does have work to do and is way down the depth chart right now.

sixshooter
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
10 years ago

Yep, I hear ya. It’s kind of hard not to like a rookie WR who was taken in the first round of the NFL draft and can be had in the late 2nd to 3rd round of most Dynasty rookie drafts. He went early third in our 12 team, 3 round draft. Definitely worth the pick considering how late he is going! It will be interesting to see if he can get it together and make some noise this year or next.

sixshooter
10 years ago

Love the Eddie Royal choice also. As a rookie, he caught 91 balls only to spend most of the following season on the sidelines with new head coach Josh McDaniels and he never has quite rebounded from that. He caught 37 passes that year but was able to catch 59 the next year. He only caught 19 last year so his career has been a roller coaster so far which some of that can be blamed on injuries as well. He also holds some value in the return game as well if the Chargers decide to use him in that capacity since he has had some success returning both kicks and punts.

Ken Dogson
10 years ago

Take Gurley, not Borel.

Gurley can play special teams and is a huge red zone target; he’s far more likely to earn the 6th roster spot than Borel.

That said, if Borel is released he will get picked up by someone. The Packers had to pay Borel and Gurley real money at the end of last year to keep them from being signed off the PS.

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