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DLF’s Weekly Impact Events

 

Much like us here at DLF, there really is no offseason in the NFL. Even after the dramatic conclusion of the Super Bowl and the MVP’s trip to Disney World, the day-to-day business of the league continues. This means you should be paying attention to give yourself every advantage in your dynasty league. For most of us, we do well to steal some time away from our families and jobs to watch the games on Sunday. It becomes difficult to monitor the daily happenings around the league, and even more demanding to process how that news affects your dynasty team.

That’s why we’re here!

Here is a quick look at the Events of the past week and how it Impacts the players on your team.

Ronnie Brown, RB SD

The Chargers signed former Dolphins and Eagles running back Ronnie Brown to compete for the backup job behind starter Ryan Mathews. Brown struggled in Philly last year, but Chargers head coach Norv Turner hopes Brown has enough left to give youngsters Curtis Brinkley and Edwin Baker time to develop. Brown is likely sitting on the waiver wire in most dynasty leagues, and should likely remain there, unless you are the Mathews owner and have a spot to burn. The signing does likely delay any playing time either Baker or Brinkley may have expected. One of the three is worth a roster spot, but it’s tough to predict which one. Watch training camp closely on this one and be ready to snatch Mathews’ backup.

Josh Cooper, WR CLE

Undrafted free agent Josh Cooper has been turning heads at Browns OTAs and is competing for a role as the team’s slot receiver. Cooper could be helped by his experience with Browns rookie quarterback Brandon Weeden, as the two played together at Oklahoma State. The depth chart is wide open after likely number one wide receiver Greg Little. Cooper is another deep sleeper along the lines of Lestar Jean, Armon Binns and Andre Holmes. His value is still well behind even those players and he is not yet worth rostering in your dynasty league.

Preston Parker, WR TB

Buccaneers quarterback Josh Freeman has praised second year wide receiver Preston Parker as a player who could make an impact in the Tampa Bay offense this season. Free agent signee Vincent Jackson has one starting job locked down, but the second and third wide receiver spots are open. Although Mike Williams is the likely candidate for the second starting spot, local beat writers have begun speculating that Parker could overtake him. Parker has already been working ahead of Dezmon Briscoe and Arrelious Benn. Most owners have been holding onto the highly drafted Benn, but this may be a sign its time to give up and take a chance on one of the young wideouts mentioned above.

Jason Snelling/Jacquizz Rodgers, RBs ATL

Falcons offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter plans on increasing the role of the running backs in the passing offense, specifically using screen plays. This is good news for both backup runners, as Michael Turner will not be expected to be used as a receiver out of the backfield. Couple this with the news that the team hopes Rodgers’ role will increase and this is a great sign for his owners. Snelling is likely on the waiver wire, and while he is a serviceable backup in the NFL, lacks the upside and explosiveness of Rodgers. Now is a great time to acquire Quizz in a trade, even if you are not a Turner owner.

Jerome Simpson, WR MIN

The NFL suspended the Vikings new wide receiver for three games for violating the league’s drug policy. This is no surprise to anyone following Simpson’s off the field trouble early this offseason. This does not dampen the positive buzz Simpson has created throughout OTAs. In fact, it gives dynasty owners a window to possibly acquire him at a reduced price. Simpson is still expected back beginning in week four of the regular season. The Vikings are the perfect storm for Simpson and he has more talent than returning wide receivers Devin Aromashodu or Michael Jenkins and more experience than Stephen Burton, Greg Childs and Jarius Wright.

Jake Ballard, TE NE

This week, the Giants waived their starting tight end from a season ago, Jake Ballard. The move was due to the torn ACL he suffered during the Super Bowl victory. Most insiders seem to think the Giants plan was to place Ballard on season ending injured reserve after he cleared waivers. The only problem with that plan is the savvy Patriots claimed Ballard and now have a new tight end. It’s hard to say what this does for Ballard’s dynasty value. He will still not see the field in 2012 and gives dynasty owners a chance to stash him on the injured reserve until a better option presents itself. I think there is little chance Ballard ever suits up for the Patriots. In fact, there is a very good chance he is back with New York in 2013.

Chad Ochocinco, WR MIA

The wide receiver needy Dolphins signed veteran Chad Ochocinco, released last week by the Patriots. There were only a few teams that he could have signed with that would result in fantasy relevance and Miami is one. He will have a chance to earn a starting spot, competing with Brian Hartline and Davone Bess. The major concern regarding Ochocinco is not even the fact that he is already 34 years old, but Considering veteran David Garrard and rookie Ryan Tannehill are competing to be the team’s starting quarterback, this may be a situation in which none of the wide receivers have fantasy impact. Many owners will scoop Ocho from the waiver wire and he is now worthy of a roster spot in most dynasty leagues, but don’t expect starting quality stats from 85.

Maurice Jones-Drew, RB JAX

There has been much chatter about various running backs being discontent with their contracts, and the talk is sounding worse and worse in Jacksonville. Jones-Drew has not been involved in any of the team’s OTAs and is now expected to hold out, potentially missing regular season action. Last year’s rushing champion is obviously being counted on by all fantasy owners and this would be a huge blow to week one rosters, should MJD not report. If you are a Jones-Drew owner, or you just need some running back depth and upside, make a move for Rashad Jennings before its too late.

Peyton Manning, QB DEN

Since the legend chose the Denver Broncos, his dynasty value has been steadily climbing, while the cost to acquire either young wide receiver Demaryius Thomas or Eric Decker is through the roof. Fantasy owners envision the Manning of old with his new versions of Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison. This week though, Manning threw some cold water on that as he reminded the media and fans that he is not yet 100% recovered from the neck surgeries that basically ended his career with the Colts. Manning, being drafted as the QB14 in start-up leagues, is way overvalued in my opinion. There is a chance we only see one season of Manning with the Broncos. If you are drafting soon, take a chance on another passer being drafted in the same area, like Ben Roethlisberger or Matt Schaub.

James Starks, RB GB

Packers head coach Mike McCarthy gave a vote of confidence to running back James Starks this week, saying the team is committed to Starks as the starter. Many fantasy owners expected the Packers to bring in some competition for Starks, especially when former Packer Ryan Grant left town as a free agent. When no other back was signed, the sleeper buzz for Alex Green and Brandon Saine heated up. Instead, the reliable and steady Starks will be the likely starter week one. With so many owners down on Starks, now is a great time to acquire him as running back depth.

James Jones, WR GB

Rumors are flying that the Packers are willing to trade wide receiver James Jones. While these are still just rumors, it does make sense, considering the depth Green Bay has on their wide receiver depth chart and the fact that Jones has never been able to put together a breakout season, as fellow Packer wideout Jordy Nelson did in 2011. Several teams would likely be interested in Jones depending on the Packer trade demands. If he landed on the right team, he could see a Robert Meachem-like rise in dynasty value.

Mikel Leshoure, RB DET

Like the Simpson suspension, this one surprises no one. Leshoure, coming off a torn Achilles a season ago, was arrested twice this offseason for marijuana possession. Considering he is still not back at full strength, the extra two weeks or rest could actually benefit the Lions back. It was only late this week that Leshoure was able to fully practice. With Jahvid Best and Kevin Smith competing for carries as well, Leshoure’s off the field trouble will not help him earn playing time. His value is all over the board according to dynasty owners I know. There is certainly potential and I would be a buyer for a future second or third round pick.

Dane Sanzenbacher, WR CHI

A report this week claims that Bears second year wide receiver Dane Sanzenbacher is in danger of not making the Bears roster this season. Sanzenbacher was a dynasty sleeper choice of many this time last year and had some impressive moments during the season. The additions and upgrade to the Bears’ wide receiver corps this offseason, including Alshon Jeffrey and Brandon Marshall, puts Sanzenbacher on the bubble. He has no dynasty value currently and should be on the waiver wire in all leagues.

Nick Toon, WR NO

The Saints have some great wide receiver depth, despite losing the main touchdown threat at the position, Robert Meachem. The team drafted Nick Toon from Wisconsin and the rookie has positioned himself to take over the team’s number four wide receiver spot. Considering the injury risks ahead of him on the depth chart, including Marques Colston and Lance Moore, this could be a chance to buy low on Toon and stash him at the end of your roster. I have never been a fan of Toon, but any wide receiver in that offense has some value.

Diondre Borel, WR GB

Second year wide receiver Diondre Borel spent last season on the Packers practice squad, but there is concern this year that he may not make it back there, as another team could claim him via waivers. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers and head coach Mike McCarthy have had good things to say about the raw Borel and this could even be related to the James Jones trade rumors. The Packers also seem to like Tori Gurley, but have the same waiver fears regarding him. The Packers will likely carry five wideouts into the regular season, meaning Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb are locks. Donald Driver is very likely to make the team as well, following his reworked contract. That leaves one spot for Jones, Borel and Gurley. Again, keep these guys off your rosters, but on your minds.

Titus Young, WR DET

The positive buzz continues regarding Lions wide receiver Titus Young. Other than his alleged fight with a teammate, this has been a tremendous set of OTAs for Young. His dynasty value is climbing  and is currently being valued in the same area as the top rookie pass catchers. Young has been a hot name in dynasty circles throughout the offseason, but if you have an owner who is not paying attention, it’s time to pounce and acquire Young.

Check back next week for another update on the week’s impact events!

Follow Ryan McDowell on Twitter @RyanMc23

Ryan McDowell
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tebow
9 years ago

why not take a shot on lashoure at the end of your roster? he is cutting already in practice so maybe you can get the goal line back on good young offense for dirt cheap.worst case he gets hurt and you drop him big whoop its worth a gamble with so little investment for the potential return.guys like this is what make dynasty fun for me.

sixshooter
Reply to  tebow
9 years ago

Totally agree. I have LeShoure (and Best) on my roster and likely would not let him go for a 2nd and definitely not a 3rd rounder. Are ya kiddin’ me?

sixshooter
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
9 years ago

Yep I agree Ryan. Not sure why someone would let him go for a 2nd when he is just getting to the point to where we can see what he can do in the NFL but maybe they feel they are selling high!

Just seen a decent piece on Best/LeShoure in the Detroit News and how the Lions are optimistic that LeShoure is going to be “the guy” in Detroit and how this will allow the team to use Best more in the Sproles/Bush type role. I have both on my Dynasty team so I am hoping they are right!

Steve Wyremski
9 years ago

Another one to add is Donald Jones. He’s receiving a TON of praise and multiple days.

Apparently, he’s the leading candidate for the Bills #2 WR spot.

Great stuff as always, Ryan.

suchislife
Reply to  Steve Wyremski
9 years ago

Jones was in the same position last year.

Steve Wyremski
Reply to  suchislife
9 years ago

There was much more conflicting news last year between Jones and Nelson. Some said Jones and others said Nelson.

We’ll see where this takes us, but from the sounds of it… Jones has really stepped up his game.

9 years ago

I’m with you on Benn. It’s time to consider that he may just be a bust. Worst pick/rookie recommendation I’ve made in four years.

Ben Clark
Reply to  Tim Stafford
9 years ago

I agree… I was high on him and took him at 1.8 in our rookie draft ahead of Demaryius Thomas a few years back. At the time a toss up, but I had to let him go this year to make room to give someone else a chance.

sixshooter
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
9 years ago

Yup. Same with Dezmon Briscoe. I picked him up on the rookie waiver, cut him, and then picked him back up after he had a couple decent weeks but have now cut him again this offseason in order to make some room on my roster. He finished the season strong with 8 catches and 2 TD’s and is the top WR on our waiver wire right now but I just can’t allow him space on my roster especially with the addition VJax.

Danton Goulet
9 years ago

Great article Ryan! Love it!

Raymond
9 years ago

since you mentioned Nick toon, Do you see any value at all in Morgan, Joseph NOS WR?

sixshooter
9 years ago

Totally disagree with the Peyton Manning evaluation. No way I would take Schaub before Manning. I don’t think I would take Roethlisberger before him either. Most ADP’s I have looked at have Peyton Manning as the 7th to 11th QB and ahead of Schaub and Roethlisberger which I agree with.

The guy has not given a reason for some to rank him lower other than he is an injury risk but what QB isn’t? Aaron Rodgers is one concussion away from being done and I don’t see him falling. What about Schaub? He has shown that he is not immune to injury concerns as is also the case with his #1 wideout in Andre Johnson!

Reply to  sixshooter
9 years ago

a major “neck fuse” in his spine and age and reports about him struggling with the deep ball have some concerned about his overall health? he has not been in a game for over a year. that is a BIG risk. i personally have a tough time betting against him, but age, time, and injury end everyones career eventually. even the legend peyton manning. its a young mans game and i personally feel better about rothlesberger, ryan, or shaub?

sixshooter
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

It all depends……if you have Manning on your roster, then I wouldn’t let him go for cheap. If you are in a startup Dynasty draft, then I would agree that you would be better taking a younger QB simply because there is no doubt that Manning will only be good for another 1,2 or maybe 3 years. However if I am in a re-draft league, I would absolutely pass on many of those younger players for the veteran stud.

Saying that he isn’t the same Manning without seeing him play sounds very foolish. Listen to the reports from his teammates and coaches!

Just goes to show how the National media can sometimes make somebody’s opinion for them.

Reply to  sixshooter
9 years ago

my comment comes directly from a manning quote…”i’m not yet 100%”. manning was qouted as saying that. his wrs say he is spot on with short range passes. they say his strenghth is there. i very rarely listen to what the “press” or any other news story about a player. i usually listen to anyone that reports on fantasy info about a team or player because they generally are looking for specifics that would help or hinder their overall progress in a rehab situation. when basing my decision on whether i would take manning or say rothlesberger or ryan or schaub, my instincts of the facts is what i draw my opinion about. he’s an aging veteren trying to revive a career on a new team, new coaches, and new team mates after an injury that should end almost anyone elses career. i also said i would’nt bet against him succeeding, but with everything weighing down on him, i would trust my instincts and go with a younger choice for my dynasty football redraft team. the national media is not helping me make that opinion or choice. fantasy football is alot like gambling, you’d love to do what your heart says, most of the time your better off going with the odds, not against them.

sixshooter
Reply to  Ryan McDowell
9 years ago

No worries Ryan, I get your point as well. I replied later in this comment section with more thoughts regarding Manning which I am confident you would probably agree with.

Thanks for the response!

sixshooter
Reply to  sixshooter
9 years ago

I also should mention that the ADP’s I am referring to are the basic ADP’s for upcoming drafts and are not necessarily tied to a Dynasty League which is why they are a bit higher for Manning. And I guess I was talking in more of a re-draft sense when I commented on the ADP and where Manning should go which is my bad. Bad habit when talking about basic drafts since I participate in Re-draft, Dynasty and Auction Leagues and it is easy to refer to a Re-draft league when discussing ADP’s, etc for veteran players.

Either way, my argument with the article is more in regards to his health and how he cooled off expectations this week when that is simply not the case. That was last week or the week before but Manning has silenced most of those critics this week!

9 years ago

all the great ones would love to play forever, but everyone has their career end sooner or later. it is hard to see it happen to the great ones like peyton. in their prime we see them as almost invincable, then father time takes over. i applaud him for trying, but i have to agree with ryan, he’s not the same peyton, and not the guy i want to have as my #1 qb on my fantasy team. i love peyton manning, and will always look up to his great career, but my fantasy team is my focus and what gives it the best chance to succeed.

Admin
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

Funny, I have an article releasing this week about this very topic of enjoying things while they last.

Reply to  Ken Kelly
9 years ago

l look forward to reading it. iloved this game since 1969 and have seen alot of great ones come and go. its always hard to say “goodbye”. but its nice to say thanks for the great memories.

sixshooter
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

Well I guess you must be only reading the National news on Manning because reports coming from Bronco’s headquarters is that he looking extremely sharp and “zinged medium-range, crossing-pattern passes to tight end Jacob Tamme and wide receiver Matt Willis. And he nailed deep go-route passes to each side of the field, one to Eric Decker, the other to Demaryius Thomas.”

Another story is regarding how he is next to impossible to sack because of his style of play and his pre-snap maneuvers which definitely helps! This coming from Elvis Dumervil in a story published in the Denver Post yesterday.

The guy hadn’t missed a game in 13 seasons, I think he will be just fine and apparently the Bronco’s feel the same way. I have read reports say that Manning’s injury is healing fine and that he likely has the same risk of that injury occurring in the future as any other QB.

I get that players’ careers eventually come to an end and often not on their terms but at the same time, before you go criticizing a player and making blind statements, you may want to do a little better research and see what the local media and team is saying instead of relying on the National stuff so much because reports from Denver are extremely positive regarding Manning and it’s not like they were always positive. The reports of struggling with the deep ball are old and out-dated not to mention that it was to be expected that it would take some time before he started nailing the deep ball again and that time is here!

I stay away from plenty of aging veterans in all leagues not just Dynasty but Peyton is not one of them. If Peyton is not 100% just yet then that is scary because the reports coming from his teammates, coaches and the local media are all rave! I am certainly not going to go out and trade for any aging veteran in a Dynasty League but that doesn’t mean I am down on the guy.

I have been paying very close attention to the situation in Denver since I have both Thomas and Decker on my team not to mention that I also picked up Dreesen just before he signed with Denver and also have last years rookie Julius Thomas so I am watching the WR’s and TE’s extremely close not to mention the guy tossing the rock to them!

Sorry but I cannot disagree with you or this article more!

sixshooter
Reply to  sixshooter
9 years ago

I must clarify that I only disagree with the Manning evaluation and maybe LeShoure to an extent.

Totally agree with the Ronnie Brown comment as I almost picked him up to see if the Ryan Matthews owner would trade for him only to realize that he is not going to want him either so I left him on the waiver where he still sits.

dannyboyroto
Reply to  sixshooter
9 years ago

What color is the manning kool-aid your drinking? I want some. You never can fully believe people that are on the same team giving you a honest reply to his condition, (especially the beat writers)because most want to keep there job.They are in the business of keeping it a mystery. In dynasty, you want a guy you can get 5-8 year out of right? you can’t think your gonna get it out of Manning do you? The Colts flat out walked away from him, and until he plays, you gotta take him late or not at all. I would gladly take any of those other qb’s, yes i get Manning healthy is in a different league, but if he is your only qb and never plays a snap, how screwed are you then?

Reply to  sixshooter
9 years ago

like i said before; fantasy football is alot like gambling, you’d love to go with your heart, but your alot better off going with the odds then against them. i really hope i’m wrong. i really hope peyton makes a complete comback. i love the man and say he maybe the greatest ever. i’m just not gambling with him as my fantasy qb this year. thats my opinion much as you have yours. i’m not saying i’m right, just saying how i will roll the dice based on the odds against him.

sixshooter
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

Well BigD….I definitely cannot argue that Peyton Manning is not a gamble that is for sure. In dynasty, it all comes down to what position your team is in as to whether or not he is even an option but for those who are ruling him out completely……that could literally cost them a Championship depending on their situation! That is the simple point I was trying to make.

For those who want to make it seem as though the guy has definitely played his last down or will play no better than Tarvaris Jackson or whatever….then not sure what to say other than good luck! Never once recommended rolling with Peyton Manning as your “only” option at QB so not sure where that brilliant comment came from but I know it wasn’t you….LOL!!!!

Nathan Stark
9 years ago

*Correction – in Jerome Simpson’s section, the last player he is competing against is Jarius Wright, not Jarius Byrd.

Admin
Reply to  Nathan Stark
9 years ago

Funny, after writing, proofing, posting and reading again, it took almost 1,500 readers until that was caught by someone. You’re hired!

Thanks!

bbwayne
9 years ago

You guys need to do your research on Manning’s surgery. He had spinal fusion which actually makes the neck area stronger! http://www.usatoday.com/sports/football/nfl/story/2012-03-08/doctors-upbeat-on-manning-health/53424974/1

The concern all along is whether he regains arm strength and he IS according to recent reports. Other reports showed he was experiencing diminishing arm strength prior to the surgery. http://www.yardbarker.com/nfl/articles/report_peyton_mannings_arm_strength_was_declining_before_neck_surgeries/10414996?linksrc=home_hot_head_3_10414996

What Manning wanted more then anything was to break Favre’s record for most consecutive starts. He would have delayed any season ending surgery as long as he could to try to beat that record.

What we have now is a Great Quarterback in the twilight of his career. Barring an ACL type injury, he will play until 40 on a team that has way more depth then the recent Colts. His brain is as sharp as ever and will be running play action to speedy Thomas and Decker heart’s content.

I would definitely take Manning in a startup at QB14 and follow right back up with a Luck, Griffin, or Tannehill if they are available. Or better yet, back him up with Osweiler at the end. I was fortunate to take over two orphaned Dynasty Teams this year with Manning. I couldn’t be happier. I will get a few more years of a top 10 QB and develop some nice QB’s on my bench. In startups, I can build better WR and RB depth on the front end and pick up Manning in later rounds.

If Favre can produce at 40, so can Manning. Don’t sleep on Manning.

robert huber
Reply to  bbwayne
9 years ago

i agree on Manning be able to produce as a low#1 high#2 with a bunch of upside, Maybe not a pure dynasty pick but for auction or re-draft a great value for the short term while you bring up some developing QB’s behind him.

sixshooter
Reply to  robert huber
9 years ago

When it comes to Dynasty, I think just about every argument can be made. If I have an aging team that I feel needs a top veteran QB to take me over the hump and get that Championship…..Manning would be a great choice in my opinion since you can probably get him at a much more decent price than another QB with similar potential but at the same time…..if you have a young team that you are rebuilding and therefore are a couple years away from being competitive…..then Manning will likely hurt your team more than help it! And if your team is somewhere in between…..then that makes for a tough decision that will likely lean in the same direction your team is leaning.

Not sure much more can be said about Manning. Just wanted to point out that he is not struggling like some in the media are trying to make it seem and for the character that seems to believe the media rather than the team…..all I have to say is that in all my years of being an NFL addict…..if the team says that a player is doing well….they likely are. If a team says that a player is struggling returning from an injury…well….that could be smoke and mirrors. But when the team “and” the local media say that a player is excelling……then that is usually golden especially when the local media were the first one’s to report that he was not back to old form just yet.

It also deserves to be mentioned that BB Wayne is correct and as I mentioned previously, it has been said that Manning has no more of a risk of an injury to his neck than the next QB.

Either way….the guy is getting up there in age and is a risk to any dynasty team with or without the injury just as any other aging player but if you need some immediate, short term, help…..then Manning may not be a bad choice!

9 years ago

right wrong or otherwise…..this banter and facts finding is just awesome. this is what this site is all about. i don’t even go anywhere else for my info. i’ve made up my mind about manning and would not gamble on him. but after hearing sixshooter and bbwayne state their cases i have to say i’ll be keeping an open mind, eye, and ear into how manning gets thru camp. great work guys, you really do your home work. nice written articles and great factual banter to consider. damn i love this stuff….thanks guys.

Admin
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

We’re lucky to have a rare combination of great writers and a great community. It’s been six long years of work to make it this far, but we’re only just beginning. Thanks for the props!

sixshooter
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

Likewise BigD….it’s definitely good to have all the different views when it comes to players and the various news coming from the offseason! I have benefited from your comments as well! Good luck in 2012!!!

9 years ago

Any info on Ryan Williams RB Arizona?

Beanie Wells
Reply to  Bad Santa
9 years ago

Yeah…I stink and I am always hurt!!!

Riley
9 years ago

What do you think of Alex Smith now that he has Mario Manningham and Randy Moss as well as Vernon Davis and Michael Crabtree?

sixshooter
Reply to  Riley
9 years ago

I really don’t know what to expect from Smith this year but he almost has to improve on last season simply because of the talent they have added to the team so I guess that has to be a positive for Smith! It will be interesting to see if the 49ers can improve on last year….I kind of think they will!

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