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Dynasty Experts League Draft Update

 

As our loyal following well knows, we participate in a Dynasty Experts League with fellow site owners from across the country. Our team is managed together by Jeff Haverlack (dlf_Jeff) and Ken Kelly (dlf_KenK). Last year, DLF won the Dynasty Experts League championship with a record of 15-1.

That amazing season featured a few equally amazing statistics:

1.) We averaged 201.3 points per game – the next closest team was under 180.
2.) Our “all play” record for the season was a ridiculous 151-25 (.858%)
3.) We set three of the four highest weekly point totals (and 6 of the top 18) in league history
4.) Our average margin of victory was 58 points

The league consists of the following sites:

FootballGuys = Jene Bramel
DynastyGuys = Jeff Pasquino and Peter Hodes
FFToday = Mike Macgregor
Fantasy Sharks = Jim Bukowski
FFToolbox = Matthew De Lima
ESPN / Scouts, INC. = Matt Williamson
FantasyFootballXtreme = Kevin Vennard
Pro Football Focus = Bryan Fontaine
RotoWorld = Evan Silva
Pigskin Addiction = Ryan Schoon
DLF = Ken Kelly and Jeff Haverlack
DraftCalc = Smitty

Our goal for getting into the league was to put our money where our mouth is in regards to dynasty leagues. We wanted to solidify DLF as a leader in the industry. After just two years, we’ve done just that.

We wanted to share with you the results of the first round of the rookie draft, complete with some trades that have been made (one of our own). Before we get too far, here was our current roster in the PPR Dynasty Experts League (keep in mind several of these players will be cut throughout the draft):

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers
Carson Palmer
Kevin Kolb
Colt McCoy
Tyrod Taylor

Running Backs 

Ryan Mathews
Darren McFadden
Marshawn Lynch
Reggie Bush
Jonathan Stewart
Evan Royster
Kahlil Bell
Jonathan Dwyer
Danny Woodhead

Wide Receivers

Wes Welker
Greg Jennings
Demaryius Thomas
Antonio Brown
Eric Decker
Anquan Boldin
Danario Alexander
Early Doucet
Joe Morgan
Preston Parker
Eddie Royal
Chastin West
Roy Williams

Tight Ends

Jason Witten
Dustin Keller
Luke Stocker

Kicker

David Akers

Defensive Linemen

John Abraham
James Hall
JJ Watt

Linebackers

Nick Barnett
London Fletcher
Ray Lewis

Defensive Backs

Jairus Byrd
Reggie Nelson

So, there you have it. We’ve constructed a roster that has a few flaws, but also has some evident strengths going into the future. We achieved this with some good drafting, some great trades and a little bit of good fortune.

DLF’s Draft Strategy

As champions of the league, we ended up with 1.12, 2.12, 4.12, 512, 6.12, 7.12 and 8.12 (we traded our third round pick last year).

Our plan all along was to wait until the selections started and lay in the weeds until the draft started getting close to our pick at 1.12. Our hope was there would be a player someone coveted who started to drop, giving us the ability to spin that pick at 1.12 in to a #1 next season (preferably from a team who would likely finish in the bottom of the league.

If that didn’t happen, we felt we were in a good position to take the best player available or attempt to move it for a backup quarterback to Rodgers.

Draft Results 

1.01) Fantasy Sharks – Trent Richardson, RB CLE

No surprise here as the Sharks tend to stockpile running backs.  They currently have 13 of them, but DeMarco Murray, Ben Tate and Trent Richardson seem to be the only viable starters for them at the moment – most of the rest are projects, but some are very good ones at that.  The Sharks also had pick #3, so there was no sense for them to take Andrew Luck or Robert Griffin III since they were guaranteed to get one of the two at #3 if they so desired.

1.02) FootballGuys – Doug Martin, RB TB

FootballGuys liked Martin enough to take a stab at him here, over both of the elite quarterbacks. They either really liked Martin’s prospects or knew a team below them really valued him highly.

1.03) Fantasy Sharks – Andrew Luck, QB IND

No surprise here as the Sharks rolled the dice and came up a winner. He said it best, “I needed a franchise RB and got one with Richardson at 1.01. I need a quality backup QB who can takeover or surpass Tony Romo and I’ve got that with Luck.”

DRAFT TRADE = FootballGuys sent Doug Martin, Jerod Mayo, and 2.02 to FFToday for 1.04, 2.05 and Colin McCarthy

They took a risk in taking Martin and hoping to find a trade partner if that was indeed their intention, but it worked out in the end. They get a younger LB in McCarthy, and the 1.04 pick coming up, plus a move back of just three spots in the second round.

For FFToday, they end up with Martin, who they almost HAD to have in the draft. Their running backs consisted of LeGarrette Blount, Felix Jones, Mikel Leshoure, Alfonso Smith and Daniel Thomas.

It’s one of those deals that seems to make sense for both.

1.04) FootballGuys – Robert Griffin III, QB WAS

After making the deal with FFToday, FootballGuys takes Griffin, who could have possibly been ranked higher on their board than Martin. They get a future starter at quarterback in Griffin (they currently had Philip Rivers and Blaine Gabbert on the roster).

1.05) Fantasy Sharks – Justin Blackmon, WR JAX

The Sharks entered the draft with picks 1.01, 1.03 and 1.05 and ended up with the #1 rated running back, quarterback AND wide receiver on many lists.  Of course, this all happened before the DUI arrest this week.  The Sharks added this in their draft commentary, “Very happy to be getting the draft’s top WR at pick 1.05. Jacksonville traded up to get Blackmon so he should see a boatload of targets.”

1.06) ProFootballFocus – David Wilson, RB NYG

He said it best in his comments in the draft room, “About how I expected the draft to unfold, but thought I had an outside chance at one of the quarterbacks or Blackmon”

1.07) FantasySharks – Brian Quick, WR STL

A bit of a stunner here as this is about as high as Quick has gone in a rookie draft.  The Sharks justify their pick by saying, “Great situation. Great young QB. Big time talent with nice upside. Will be Rams #1 WR and should produce early and often.”

1.08) FantasySharks – Coby Fleener, TE IND

Another surprising pick by the Sharks, considering Kendall Wright and Michael Floyd were still on the board. He comments, “It’s probably a bit early to take Fleener but Indy will be passing a lot and Luck will be targeting his old college chum.”

Side note: The Sharks franchise was able to stockpile a ton of picks in the draft by making some great trades over the years.  They traded Jacob Tamme for a 2012 1st-round pick, Dexter McCluster and Sidney Rice for DeAngelo Williams and a 2012 first round pick, Peyton Hillis for a 2011 and 2012 first round pick and their 1.11 in 2011 for yet another first rounder this year.  The Sharks know what they’re doing!

1.09) FFToolbox – Michael Floyd, WR ARI

The toolbox makes the comment that he’s always looking for the best player available at all times and it’s hard to argue Floyd not fitting that category.

Side note: This is right about the time where DLF starts sending out some feelers about picking up a first rounder next year in exchange for pick 1.12. We were hoping Stephen Hill and Ronnie Hillman would drop to that area since many are high on both of them.

1.10) ProFootballFocus – Kendall Wright, WR TEN

PFF notes he was surprised that Wright fell to him here and he likes the value. Tough to argue.

Side note: We started to get a lot of offers that included the 1.12 at this point, but most of them wanted players like McFadden and Mathews in larger deals. We weren’t that interested.

1.11) DynastyGuys – Isaiah Pead, RB STL

The DynastyGuys go for Pead over Stephen Hill and Ronnie Hillman and we find ourselves pretty excited they’re still on the board, along with Ryan Tannehill and Rueben Randle.

Side note: Now the trade talks REALLY heat up. ESPN is very interested in 1.12, but they have no #1 next year.  This is where it’s important to know which players you have that OTHER players like. We engage in some very lengthy discussions revolving around various trade scenarios that include Jeremy Maclin, DeAngelo Williams and Hakeem Nicks on his side and Antonio Brown, Eric Decker, Demaryius Thomas, 1.12, 2.12 our #2 in 2013 on our side.  We knew he was very interested in Brown (after all, he was the #23 WR in the format last year), so we really focused on that and feel like we got the perfect deal for us.

DRAFT TRADE = ESPN/Scouts, Inc. trades Hakeem Nicks to DLF for Antonio Brown, 1.12, 2.12 and our #2 in 2013. We felt that gave us another legitimate WR1 and felt great about it since we nabbed Brown off the wire last year before he blew up and parlayed that and our draft picks into an elite player. Matt Williamson is very, very high on Antonio Brown’s potential (take note) and it was obvious he thought highly of another player in this draft since he wanted the next pick.

1.12) ESPN / Scouts, Inc. – Ronnie Hillman, RB DEN

Hillman was the target for ESPN all along and he felt good about getting him.

END ROUND ONE

So, we feel even better about our prospects next season with the following starting lineup on offense, with a solid defensive unit behind them:

Aaron Rodgers
Ryan Mathews
Darren McFadden
Hakeem Nicks
Greg Jennings
Wes Welker
Demaryius Thomas / Marshawn Lynch / Reggie Bush / Eric Decker
Jason Witten 

We’ll keep you updated on the draft’s progress, or you can follow it here. You can also follow me on twitter @dlf_kenk

Ken Kelly
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Boomer
9 years ago

Good deal for you guys. Interesting that you didn’t fight hard to keep 2.12 and take one of the rookie LB’s to replace the older one’s you have.

Alan Bauerle
9 years ago

Thanks for showing us the expert rookie draft. I like how the sharks jumped out to grab quick at 1.7. Looks like they went for team need over BPA. Great stuff

Jim - Fantasy Sharks
Reply to  Alan Bauerle
9 years ago

Hi Alan,

Although I do believe that Quick was the best WR available when I drafted him it wasn’t a team need. I have Dez, AJ Green, Julio Jones and Blackmon all ahead of him. But, at 6’5″, 220-pounds he’s extremely talented and he’ll step right in as the Rams #1 WR with a good young QB in Bradford.

amoo
9 years ago

Any thoughts of trading Welker and Witten for one of the top TEs?

9 years ago

Thanks for the invite, fellas! It’s never easy taking over a team someone else drafted, but we have made two blockbuster trades so far:

ESPN gave up: LeSean McCoy (also: Harry Douglas, Jabar Gaffney, Evan Moore)

DraftCalc gave up: Maurice Jones-Drew, Jeremy Maclin, Fred Davis (also: Sean Weatherspoon)

… then

ESPN/Scouts Inc. gave up
Brees, Drew NOS QB;
Moore, Matt MIA QB;
Lewis, Dion PHI RB;
Carter, Andre FA DE;
Year 2012 Draft Pick 2.12;
Year 2012 Draft Pick 3.05

DraftCalc gave up
Cutler, Jay CHI QB;
Vick, Michael PHI QB;
Smith, Steve CAR WR;
Peppers, Julius CHI DE

Admin
Reply to  Smitty
9 years ago

Agreed, and if any of you have not already done so, definitely check out Smitty’s new site, DraftCalc.com. It’s a terrific resource with dynasty, keeper as well as redraft info. Definitely worth a look!

Cyrus Miller
9 years ago

I am a little surprised by the Doug Martin trade. It is fair enough (dropping 2 spots and getting their original target in the first and dropping 3 spots to upgrade from Mayo to McCarthy), but I think people are sleeping on Mayo. McCarthy is young but Mayo isn’t old, his perceived value is lower than his real value.

As for the Nicks trade, I think I would have tried to keep one of the second rounders. Granted you got an elite player and that matters, but you gave up three nice prospects that can solidify your depth.

Interesting draft, and it fits with the rookie draft I was a part of. Only exception was Kuechly went in the first and Fleener fell to 2.02.

sean mcguigan
9 years ago

Aaron Rodgers
Ryan Mathews
Darren McFadden
Hakeem Nicks
Greg Jennings
Wes Welker
Demaryius Thomas / Marshawn Lynch / Reggie Bush / Eric Decker
Jason Witten

Wow that is one tough team….if McFadden can stay healthy somehow you should be there at the end…..Deyaryius Thomas as a 4th receiver is sick…dude could be top 5-10 easily….

Zach
9 years ago

I don’t think Thomas is quite top 5 to 10 potential. Nothing against him and I do think he’ll be solid but you got to think about all the other wrs in front of him.

Reply to  Zach
9 years ago

decker is my man….look for him to have a jordy nelson type season if manning is healthy? just my opinion.

Trey
9 years ago

I know a lot of praise is being handed out to DLF for the Nicks trade and rightfully so but I think it was a pretty good move for ESPN too. I think the gap between Nicks and Brown this year and going forward is going to be less than most expect, especially if things don’t work out right with Wallace in Pittsburgh, and for ESPN to add three pretty high draft picks in the process is great.

Of course, Matt Williamson is a huge Steelers homer which you would know if you listen to ESPN’s Football Today Podcast so the trade is not shocking. He might know more about the Wallace situation than the average joe which could explain him making the leap for Brown.

I’m a big fan of Matt Williamson though as well. He’s one of my favorite analysts.

Reply to  Trey
9 years ago

i have heard rumors that there could be a push for pittsburg to be after matt forte thinking that chicago may try to move him rather then pay him? they may be seeking wallace in this trade? williamson may have sniffed this out? i see also matt forte was just traded in the experts league as well. these guys know something? i’m doing my homework on it as well.

Dave
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

As a Forte owner this post just made me jump out of my chair. I can’t think of a better situation for Forte, but I also know blockbuster trades like this are extremely rare. The last one I can remember involving a RB of this caliber was the Denver/Washington trade for Portis. Can you point to an article or report talking about this trade?

Reply to  Dave
9 years ago

i have heard this from a second source that had read something about the possibility of both of these guys being moved and chg/pit becoming trade partners because of mutual need? the source told me it was on profootballweekly whispers and rumors by hub arkush, the chicago based site???? i didnt read it myself, but like i said i’m doing my homework as well?????

Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

they also reported that chicago was very worried about the condition of fortes knees and if they could find a trade partner that was ok with him they would pursue it. that is why apparently they have balked at a long term agreement and why they brought in bush???? forte would be a perfect fit for pitt and haley’s new offense. wallace could be expendable if pitt wants to run more?

Why Not Win Now?
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

Chicago needs Forte way more than Wallace. Bush is 29 and faded down the stretch last year. They may trade him, but no way they trade him for a WR after getting Marshall.

These rumors are the typical media response to teams down-talking players and players claiming to be “disgruntled” with their teams.

It’s called negotiating through the media. Don’t fall for it.

Trey
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

On the contrary, Dave, as a Mendenhall and Redman owner I really hope this is not true! Haha.

Very interesting discussion though. If that trade were to go through Bush’s value would also take a huge leap. I’m not sure what use Chicago would have for Wallace though since they brought in Brandon Marshall AND drafted Alshon Jeffery this offseason. Maybe they would want to keep him there just long enough until Jeffery could really take over that starting spot two years down the road or so. Marshall and Wallace would be quite the arsenal for Cutler to work with.

Alan Bauerle
Reply to  Trey
9 years ago

Chicago is not gonna be able to pay Wallace and Marshall. Wallace is not expendable. He takes the top off defences. If they want to run more they are gonna need Wallace to keep the safteies in check. He’s been freeing up guys like Brown and Sanders. If they trade Wallace out of Pittsburg it would hurt their plan to run more, not help it.

Why Not Win Now?
Reply to  Alan Bauerle
9 years ago

Not going to happen. Why? When was the last time a trade like this happened in the NFL? I can’t recall. Not to mention the fact that Chicago doesn’t need Wallace, Pittsburgh does. Pittsburgh doesn’t need Forte. Bush was signed because he’s a good 29 year old CHEAP backup.

Reply to  Trey
9 years ago

seriously??? are you guys kidding me that deals like this dont happen? well lets put it this way deals of this magnatude very seldom happen because you are dealing with a salary cap and players that are usually well rooted into those teams caps where it makes it unlikely to get a deal done because the trading partner cannot efficiently make the numbers of an excisting contract work for them…..but the one thing that you seem to be overlooking in this trade situation…forte and wallace are both tendered with contracts on the table. if they both refuse to sign the tenders(which looks like possibilities on both sides) they tenders can be withdrawn and they are stiil property of their team under the old existing contract and can be traded under those terms, then free to negotiate a new contract with a new team they are traded to. do you know how easy these 2 could be traded with this on the table? pitt does not need wallace to open up their running game when you have a weapon like forte in the passing game that they never have had before….mendenhall, redman? yeah right. chicago would take wallace in a heart beat and plug bush into the rb spot. why do you think they took jeffery. they need another top wr. ……this comes from david haugh sports writer chicago tribune. i think i’ll take his opinion or you “experts”.

Why Not Win Now?
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

Hey, I’m just saying I don’t remember any blockbusters of this sort. The “?” wasn’t sarcastic. I think any big name trades usually do involve a RFA or franchised guy, so that does make it easier.

I still don’t see it though. Forte for Wallace is a deal that gets somebody fired if it doesn’t work out. It’s too bad, but NFL GM’s are typically a little overly concerned about job security for these deals.

Alan Bauerle
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

#1 I definately don’t think I’m an expert you do
#2 just stating an opinion
#3 if they can afford Wallace and Marshall which I doubt because of salary caps and the giant Fitzgerald contract Wallace wants then great for them. Let’s see if they can keep Cutler Marshall Wallace Jeffery and the rest of their roster. Once again just an opinion. No need to be sarcastic Little D you can get your point across w/o being a $#&!

Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

alright alan lets get a few things correct before passing out insults.
#1 i’m stating another writers opinions about this deal. you guys are the ones acting like experts saying no way to this or noway it could happen. tell him not me.
#2 i feel he is an expert opinion on the subject not you or me.
#3 i wasnt trying to defend myself as an expert, i was just looking at the side of the story you guys said couldnt happen when it probably already was contemplated?
#4 according to a sports writer in chicago for the sun.
#5 did i insult you and call you a “$#&!”? was i being a “$#&!” no. but thank you for implying that. you have answered the question about your self to everyone with that statement.

Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

oh i forgot to add that this is just my opinion

Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

alan i think you passed judgement on me without knowing anything about me. first i’m not little d, i’m 6’2 260lbs and i’m an over the road trucker. i’m 50 years old and i read a lot of newspapers in this business. i’m sure know expert but i’ve been watching nfl football since 1970 so i think that gives me at least some insight on how the game operates. and i’m a bears fan. we are the most opinionated fans in the world. dont argue, just agree to disagree.

Tim Miller
Reply to  bigD
9 years ago

Remember when Cutler and Marshall were traded? Based on their chemistry, that was a blockbuster trade seeing them dealt away like that.

Admin
Reply to  Trey
9 years ago

Totally agree. Matt is awesome! If you have not already done so, check out his articles and the Football Today podcast on ESPN. It’s the best football podcast you’ll hear.

Alan Bauerle
9 years ago

Ok Big D. First off you started your post w/ “seriously are you guys kidding me” and ended w or you “experts”. So that’s where I base my judgements. 2cnd if you really weren’t being a &[email protected]? Then I apologize. To me you were implying that I was an expert which I’ll gladly and openly say I’m not. Like I said if Chicago can afford Wallace good for them. If you really think Pittsburg losing Wallace and gaining Fortes questionable knees then all your years of following football wrighting is for not. I played high school and college football. I am currently a high school football coach. U take one if the fastest and most productive offencive weapon off a team for a good rb coming off a big injury is just foolish. Look at Wallaces production towards the end of the year. It fell off because he was constantly double teamed. If other teams don’t have to double that leaves a saftey to play closer to the box. Making it harder for a rb to do his thing. Especially a rb who’s team is not wanting to give a long term contract because his knees are in question. That’s all I’m sayin. Again apologies to you Big D….and to everyone at DLF.

Reply to  Alan Bauerle
9 years ago

alan, no appologies needed. glad to hear you are a football player and coach and to me that gives all the creditability to your statement. i played too. personally i agree with your assessment of wallace to the steelers. but the sports writer from chicago put it this way; IF A CONTRACT IS GOING TO GET IN THE WAY OF SIGNING THESE GUYS AND RUIN THE EFFECTIVENESS OF WHAT THEY BRING TO THE TEAM THEN MAYBE THEY EACH SHOULD BE GONE. NIETHER OF THEM ARE THAT GREAT THAT THEY CAN NOT BE REPLACED. CHICAGO ALREADY HAS MADE THE MOVE TO DO SO, AND MAYBE PITT CAN ACOMPLISH THE SAME WITH ALL THE YOUNG RISING TALENT THEY HAVE AT WR NOW. then the arguement seemed to steer to the fact that based on contract size that maybe a deal could be worked out between the 2. chicago is playing hardball with forte, and pitt seems equally intent on doing the same with wallace. could they move them? the sports writer seemed to think so. i like to agree with that? the way the $ runs sports this day and age. if forte is as healthy as he says he is. he would have equal value to wallace on the market. thats the point i was trying to make. being a dick or being over opinionated generally is not my style, so when i’m called on it i get worked up. this may or may not be the right way to do a deal like this, but based on the facts that the writer laid out, i really could see it happening? thats all i had to say about it. good luck to you and your team, and your fantasy team as well.

Alan Bauerle
9 years ago

Hey I got Wallace and if he does go to Chicago I think it would be great fantasy wise. Cutler gunning it and Marshall getting double teamed hell maybe they put Wallace in the slot n Marshall n Jeffery on the outside… Dam that would be scary. Be safe on the road n good luck to you as well!

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