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DCIII

 

The Washington Redskins have completed a blockbuster trade with the St. Louis Rams to acquire the #2 pick in the upcoming NFL Draft. In exchange, the Rams will receive the #6 pick in the 2012 Draft, along with the Redskins second round pick (#39 overall), and Washington’s first round selections in 2013 and 2014.

Yeah, you could say they’re all in.

There’s no question this trade will put the legacy of Mike Shanahan squarely in the crosshairs and officially ends the ridiculous era of John Beck and Rex Grossman in DC. The Redskins will undoubtedly take Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin III unless the Colts pull a Mario Williams and Reggie Bush-esque draft day change of heart and pass on Andrew Luck.  A trade of this magnitude is going to change the course of the Redskins over the next decade, for better or worse.

The deal has major ramifications in both reality and fantasy. We examine the parties involved and their impact in dynasty leagues.

Robert Griffin III

His draft stock obviously skyrocketed over the past month and the Redskins paid for it. It was obvious that Peyton Manning had little interest in joining the Redskins, so they had to move quickly to keep other teams like the Browns from getting that pick. Assuming he ends up in Washington, there are mixed feelings.

Griffin does fit the mold of a successful Mike Shanahan quarterback. He’s mobile, athletic, accurate and most importantly, smart. While all the draft pundits seem to be drooling over his physical ability, people are bypassing the fact that he really a well put together athlete who is extremely cerebral when it comes to everything in life, including playing quarterback.

The Redskins don’t boast a tremendous offense to help him out at the moment. Their offensive line is average, as indicated by the 5.9% sack rate (the NFL average was around 6.7%). However, you have to consider Grossman and Beck were not the most fleet of foot, as well.

The skill players surrounding Griffin aren’t exactly scaring other teams. Leonard Hankerson is an emerging receiver who may have the best room to grow with Griffin at the helm. Santana Moss will turn 34 later this Summer and he seems to be losing a step. Anthony Armstrong, Niles Paul, Aldrick Robinson and Terrence Austin are all question marks based on age or inexperience. Fred Davis could be a good beneficiary of this as Chris Cooley is not expected back.

At running back, the addition of Griffin is actually pretty good news for Roy Helu and Evan Royster. While any back in a Mike Shanahan offense tends to have the shelf life of an anti-Twinkie, the Redskins will have precious few draft picks over the next few years to risk using one a running back. There’s always a chance the regime takes one late or try to lure someone through free agency, but owners of Helu and Royster have to feel good about this development.

As far as Griffin himself goes, he has a lot of work to do. No rookie quarterback ever finds himself in a perfect position to be successful and this one is certainly far from it. The Redskins did save up a bunch of cap space in order to lure free agents and they may be under more pressure than any team to actually get someone like Vincent Jackson, Mario Manningham, Brandon Lloyd, or another good weapon for RGIII.

Regardless, Griffin must be considered in the top four of a rookie draft, along with Trent Richardson, Justin Blackmon and Luck.

The St. Louis Rams

What a haul.

Having Sam Bradford in tow and now giving new Coach Jeff Fisher an arsenal that includes two additional future first round picks and an extra second round pick in this year’s draft just for moving down four spots (where they’d likely get the same player they had targeted at #2) is an absolute dream scenario for the Rams.

With the 6th pick in the draft, it wouldn’t surprise anyone to see the Rams take Oklahoma State wide receiver Justin Blackmon. His workout yesterday left few major questions and likely assured him of being the first receiver selected.

Meanwhile, the Rams are going to be major players in the draft for the next three years as the boast multiple first round picks in both 2013 and 2014. Imagine if Griffin doesn’t perform well and those picks end up being of the premium variety – this could end up being a Herschel Walker-like haul for St. Louis.

The Cleveland Browns

Swing and a miss.

The Browns reportedly upped their effort to get Griffin at the last minute and thought they had a deal done that featured three first round picks as well. However, their reluctance to add #22 in THIS year’s draft may have been their undoing.

The Browns are a mess and need a major offensive overhaul. They could target Trent Richardson early in the draft, but the smart money may be on them trading back a bit and looking at quarterbacks like Ryan Tannehill or Brandon Weeden. They could also step up their effort to land Matt Flynn.

It was simply not a good night for Cleveland. The Big Show has his work cut out for him.

The Miami Dolphins

One shoe has dropped for Miami now. They’d been a sleeper to trade up for Griffin, but that option is now gone.

Just think about this for a second.

If they don’t land Peyton Manning and the Browns land Matt Flynn, this offseason will go down as a disaster in South Beach.  They could still end up with a decent rookie from the draft, but the allure of the Dolphins would be tarnished quite a bit after losing out on Manning, Flynn, Jeff Fisher AND Jim Harbaugh.

How do you think Griffin will perform in DC?

Ken Kelly
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Mac
10 years ago

Great article Ken; as always. I gotta let this one sink in a bit. You’ve got to feel bad for Miami if they don’t land Manning and Cleveland gets Flynn.

tebow
10 years ago

rg3 is perfect w a team lacking big playmakers because he can create out of the pocket and make big plays outta nothing

10 years ago

Good analysis

Josh G
10 years ago

Nice article and I am curious about one thing. I own Sam Bradford and someone is basically offering RG3 for him (1.04 for Bradford and I own 1.01 and 1.02)…

In most websites I have perused, the early rankings list RG3 quite a bit higher than Bradford. Of course after this draft pick (landslide) trade, the Rams seem to be in quite an enviable position to take some O-line and skill positions in order allow Bradford to succeed.

Therefore the question is..given the new coaching regime in St. Louis, the one RG3 will likely head to, the accumulation of picks in St. Louis over the new few years, the current rosters of both teams..etc…is it foolish to think Bradford just might be worth holding on to over RG3?

Josh G
Reply to  Ken Kelly
10 years ago

I have Stafford, Vick and Bradford.
I am absolutely taking Luck and trying to deal away Vick.
Was debating about hedging my some bet and have Stafford, Luck and RG3..as opposed to Bradford.

Either way its a good position to be in..but..would love to sort it out 🙂

DCR
Reply to  Josh G
10 years ago

with stafford, vick, and luck you don’t have much need for another qb. I’d take the deal and wait a bit for another owner to get desperate for RG3 and flip the 1.04 pick for something else.

repkllrs
10 years ago

You left the Redskins leading wr out of your analysis. Jabbar Gaffney quietly put up na respectable season of 68-947-5. He’s only 31, outplayed Santana Moss, and can be had for peanuts.

Shawn
10 years ago

As a Browns fan that was just WAY too much to give up for RG3. So many holes to fill, I’d expect the Browns to get either Flynn or Tanneyhill. Sometimes the best trades are ones you don’t make, and I think that’s the case here with Cleveland.

Draho
Reply to  Shawn
10 years ago

If the Browns are smart (they’re not), they will draft Blackmon #4 and play this year with McCoy. 1 of 2 things will happen:

1) McCoy will prove to be a viable NFL QB. (I won’t say that McCoy will be the next John Elway, but there is no way you can say he’s been given a fair chance…if he sucks with Blackmon & an otherwise improved situation, only then is it fair to give up.)
2) McCoy will fail…in which case, the Browns will certainly have a top pick again to take the QB of their choice in 2013…they will likely be the highest drafting team who has not invested a first round pick on a qb in the last 3 years.

ray
Reply to  Draho
10 years ago

Browns are in a great spot to grab Richardson at 4. Go after Flynn or Orton in FA. If they don’t want Fynn or Orton they can go after Tananhill. They drafted Little early at WR last year. Taking Blackmon wouldn’t be a good move. Be more of a stab at Rams for not taking their deal. Strangely enough T. Rich wouldn’t be a bad pick for Rams either S Jax not getting any younger. Free agent market deep at WR. If Rams could land Vincent Jackson and draft T. Rich take another WR 2nd round be very solid moves.

Chris
10 years ago

I am in a ten team two quarterback league and I have the 1.2 pick. I am trying to decide between Richardson and RG3 (or trying to put together a package that includes the 1.2 for Luck). In a one quarterback league it would be Richardson, but in this league quarterbacks are very valuable and hard to come by. I don’t have any pressing needs, so this is more of a luxury pick for me (roster below). Thoughts?

QB: Rodgers, Brees, Freeman, J. Johnson

RB: Peterson, McFadden, Sproles, Stewart, S. Jackson, Blount, Vereen, Ridley

WR: Nicks, Jennings, Dez, DeSean, Crabtree, Williams (TB), D. Thomas (Den), Cobb, Baldwin (KC)

TE: Hernandez, Keller

Three (3) 2013 First Round Picks (order to be determined).

Chris
Reply to  Chris
10 years ago

Here are the starting positions in case that helps:
QB
QB
RB
RB
RB/WR
WR
WR
WR
WR/TE
TE

Josh G
Reply to  Chris
10 years ago

Barring injury or the bye week…it doesnt seem like you “need” either..Brees and Rodgers? McFadden, AP, Sproles, S-Jax, J-Stew? Theres no weaknesses there barring injury/bye. Your weakest at WR..maybe ytou can trade back or something.

Josh G
Reply to  Josh G
10 years ago

You’re

and 3 2012 picks huh.

Well..go for RG3 I guess. You are plenty deep at RB…and I am not sold on Freeman or Josh Johnson.

Matt
Reply to  Chris
10 years ago

Are you in a league by yourself?

Chris
Reply to  Matt
10 years ago

We had a draft three years ago and I acquired alot of the players currently on my team through leverage trades. But, yeah, I’m not complaining about my team.

Matt
Reply to  Chris
10 years ago

No kidding you have a great team, you made some good picks and trades.

10 years ago

But there’s zero percent chance that the Redskins sign Brandon Lloyd. I’m guessing you forgot when they traded a 3rd and a 4th for him and he did nothing for them

DLF_KenK
Reply to  Chris
10 years ago

No, I agree he’s a long shot. They’d have to view him as a late bloomer. Colston, Manningham and VJax are much more likely.

10 years ago

everyone says the redskins gave up 3 first rounders and a 2nd to get rg3??? really? are you guys deft? all the skins gave up is a 2nd this year, a first in 2013 and a first in 2014. if rg3 helps them get to the playoffs, who cares about 13 and 14, really?

Matt
Reply to  bigd
10 years ago

RGBUST

Dan
Reply to  bigd
10 years ago

Yes, they did give up 3 1sts – 2013, 2014 AND their 1st from THIS year. 1, 2, 3…

Matt
Reply to  Dan
10 years ago

They moved up 4 spots so how is that giving up 3 firsts? They only gave up 2 firsts.

Reply to  Dan
10 years ago

how can they give up a 1st this year when they draft #2 overall

Dan
Reply to  bigd
10 years ago

They gave up the 6th overall pick – a 1st rounder.

They gave up 3 1sts and a 2nd to gain a higher 1st this year. 1,2,3 1sts. I’m not sure how you aren’t grasping this.

Cyrus
Reply to  Dan
10 years ago

Clearly, we are “deft” (sic).

I prefer to think of it as giving up two first round picks for the chance to move up and take Griffin, but they literally gave up three first round picks to get the #2, and therefore, Griffin.

Sensai_John_Kreese
10 years ago

You are both right.

It’s all a matter of how you phrase it.

The Redskins gave up 3 firsts for The Rams #2 selection…

or

The Redskins gave up 2 firsts to trade up 4 spots in this years draft.

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