Instant Analysis: DeAngelo Williams re-signs with Carolina

The most significant move of the offseason just occured as DeAngelo Williams has re-signed with Panthers for a reported five-year, $43 million contract with $21 million guaranteed.  This move has a major impact in dynasty leagues and in fantasy football in general.  There are several players whose dynasty values are changed by Williams staying a Panther.

DeAngelo Williams, RB CAR
You don’t pay a player this kind of money and not give him the lion’s share of carries.  Expect Williams to remain the 1A and Jonathan Stewart the 1B in the Panther offense.  While he’s likely never going to come close to his monster 2008 season where he amassed over 1,500 yards and 18 touchdowns, but expecting 1,000 yards and 8-10 scores wouldn’t be out of the realm of possibilities.

Jonathan Stewart, RB CAR
Ugh.  Stewart owners were crossing their collective fingers and toes with the hope that Williams would bolt and the ultra-talented Stewart would finally get his crack at the starting job.  He’s not a free agent until 2013, so the wait is going to be substantially longer than anyone had hoped for.  On the bright side, he’ll still only be 26 at that point.

Stewart is relegated back to his “1B” status in the Panthers offense.  There’s virtually no chance that he gets more carries than Williams, barring a substantial injury.  If you own Stewart, you can expect him to get somewhere in the neighborhood of 200 carries in a good season with the hope he can get you 1,000 yards and a handful of scores.  He’s done it before, so that’s not a pipe dream.

In the end, this is not a good day for Stewart owners in dynasty leagues.

Mike Goodson, RB CAR
Those who have watched Goodson see a player with an enormous amount of talent.  Unfortunately, he’s going to need not one, but two injuries to see significant time again.  It’s too bad because he does have the talent to play in the league.  The arrow is pointing way down on Goodson this morning.

Tyrell Sutton, RB CAR
Much like Goodson, Sutton doesn’t lack talent.  They also share another common element – they’re buried on the depth chart.

Cam Newton, QB CAR
Newton has to be happy about this development.  Having Williams and Stewart both around to carry the offensive load will take a tremendous amount of pressure off him.  It certainly looks like new Coach Ron Rivera is setting the Panthers up to play good defense and pound the ball.  It’s a typical tough guy approach and one that should work well with a rookie quarterback.

Daniel Thomas, RB MIA
For the moment, Thomas owners are rejoicing.  Williams was said to be high on the Dolphins list, so having him go back to Carolina is a victory.  Unfortunately, the Dolphins are still taking a run at Ahmad Bradshaw.

Knowshon Moreno, RB DEN
Oddly enough, Moreno may be the biggest beneficiary of Williams staying in Carolina.  For months, the Broncos have been connected with Williams and it made sense with John Fox calling the shots.  After all, Fox is the only Coach that DeAngelo had ever played for.  When the dust settled, the price was just too high for Denver.

With the running backs left on the market, it’s most likely the Broncos find a complement to Moreno instead of a replacement.  Rumored names are Jason Snelling and Willis McGahee – neither would be much of a threat to be the primary runner for the Broncos.

Ken Moody

Ken Moody

Senior Partner - CTO at Dynasty League Football
I manage the tech stuff for DLF, as well as some partnerships, the podcast and more. Give me a follow on Twitter at @dlf_kenm, I might accidentally tweet something useful.
Ken Moody

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  1. skip

    July 27, 2011 at 12:36 pm

    As many forum members know I suggested two months ago a DeWill re-signing and trade of Stewart. I don’t think the Carolina RB saga is over by any stretch…

  2. Bigcsr67

    July 27, 2011 at 1:24 pm

    What are some trade scenarios for j stew, skip? I am wondering what teams would pursue him at this juncture?

    • jordan stallard

      July 27, 2011 at 3:03 pm

      Imagine if the Giants let Bradshaw go to the Dolphins, receive their draft picks, and then trade those draft picks to the Panthers for either DWill or JStew.

      Dallas should go after him too, he’d be a great featured RB for the Cowboys with Felix as a change of pace guy.

  3. Rugby1717

    July 27, 2011 at 1:48 pm

    I wouldnt know the teams but his value is extremely high. As mentioned in the article he wont be a free agent untill 2013. Two years of young rb is pretty valuable. Seattle is a team that comes to mind. Lynch isnt getting younger or better and they dont seem to like Forsett as anything but a 3rd down back. They could use a stewart but probably arent willing to pay the price.

  4. Curt

    July 27, 2011 at 3:21 pm

    So what kind of value does Stewart hold now? Low-end RB2, RB3, matchup flex option..?

    I’m thinking of trading him away for Mikel Leshoure.

    • DLF_KenK

      July 27, 2011 at 3:32 pm

      Right now, a low-end RB2 or RB3 with massive upside. I would NOT even consider trading him for LeShoure in a dynasty league. Stewart is still very young and while you see “five year deal,” it’s likely going to be just two years until he gets a shot in Carolina or elsewhere.

      If I own him, I would also love to see him traded, but I don’t see it happening. The Panthers are looking to protect their young quarterback and what better way to do that than by bolstering your defense and RB corps.

      While I think they overpaid for Williams, I think they did that with the full intention of running out the best RBBC platoon in the league.

    • jordan stallard

      July 27, 2011 at 10:08 pm

      I would easily trade JStew for Ingram, Blount, or Matthews. Good luck getting that kind of value for him though!

      • ??droppedballs??

        July 27, 2011 at 11:05 pm

        you hold on to him for another 2 yrs is what u do, 26 and a fa in 2013 with lots of tread on his tires, or pray for a trade next offfseason, car might trade him then

  5. Desmond

    July 29, 2011 at 8:54 am

    what’s the big deal with D-Will?? He is going to get hurt again.Old Rb’s that get banged up only get more banged up and slower,J-Stew will be the starter by week 5

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