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Gold Rush

tate

Golden Tate was one of the first significant wide receivers to sign during free agency as he inked a five-year, $31 million contract with the Lions that includes $13.25 million guaranteed. Tate had considered a hometown discount to stay with the Seahawks, but instead found the offer from Detroit too enticing to pass up. He’ll team up with Calvin Johnson and give the Lions the long awaited second option they’ve been desperately looking for over the past few years. Let’s examine the players involved and assess how their dynasty values may have changed after this signing.

Golden Tate, WR DET

Tate enjoyed his best year as a pro last season with 64 catches, 898 yards and five touchdowns. In his four years with Seattle, he posted a total of 165 catches for 2,195 yards and 15 touchdowns. Tate has never really lived up to his pedigree, but he’s been a dependable performer on a run first team – that all changes now. Matt Stafford will love Tate’s after the catch ability. He’s dynamic with the ball in his hands and should be just what the Lions have needed for so long opposite Megatron.

It would be a surprise to nobody to see Tate set career highs in all categories next season. Calvin Johnson will still demand double and triple coverage, leaving Tate one-on-one virtually every Sunday. Stafford is certainly not shy about throwing the football and Tate will almost certainly get more than 100 targets next season. Tate is currently the WR65 in our latest ADP and that will undoubtedly trend upward with this news.

Free agency is really interesting. With all the talk of Eric Decker possibly losing value going from a WR2 in Denver to a WR1 elsewhere, here we likely have a WR1 in Seattle gaining value by becoming the WR2 in Detroit.

Matt Stafford, QB DET

You have to be happy for Stafford. He’s had his fair share of players attempt to take that spot across from Johnson, including Nate Burleson and Ryan Broyles, but it just hasn’t worked out. He’ll make his share of mistakes and force a large number of throws, but Stafford is still an underrated performer in dynasty leagues and this move should do nothing but help him.

Calvin Johnson, WR DET

If you think Tate eats into any part of his production, I think you’re sorely mistaken. Johnson will get his, no matter who is on the field.

Russell Wilson, QB SEA

The champs were hoping to get Tate back, but it just didn’t work out financially. With Sidney Rice and Golden Tate both gone, the Seahawks are in the market for a receiver or two via free agency or the draft. The addition of Jermichael Finley would be great, but you have to figure the Seahawks will be looking at the likes of Decker, James Jones, Hakeem Nicks and the whole slew of star studded rookie receivers scheduled to come out. If the Seahawks fail in their quest to upgrade their corps, this could spell some trouble for Wilson.

Seahawks Receivers

Depending on what their next move may be, the values of Doug Baldwin and Jermaine Kearse just took a nice little bump up. You figure Percy Harvin (much like Johnson) will get his fair share of plays when healthy, but at the moment, Baldwin and Kearse look to be key players in the Seahawks offense next season.

Lions Recievers

The sleeper appeal of Kris Durham, Kevin Ogletree, Corey Fuller, Jeremy Ross or any of the others takes a sizable hit. I genuinely feel bad for Ryan Broyles as well.

The Draft

A lot of mock drafts had the Lions taking a receiver like Mike Evans at #10 overall in the 2014 NFL Draft, but this likely throws a bucket of cold water on that notion. They could still use some more talent at the position, but the sense of urgency is tempered with the addition of Tate.

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Ken Kelly

Ken Kelly

Senior Partner - Executive Editor at DynastyLeagueFootball
Ken is a corporate trainer by day an a tireless editor of dynasty content by night. His passion for the World Champion Seattle Seahawks is second only to his love of fantasy football and the dynasty format.

Ken is on Twitter at DLF_KenK
Ken Kelly

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8 Comments

8 Comments

  1. Dave

    March 12, 2014 at 8:27 pm

    The only thing shocking here is that Decker didn’t get this offer…what kind of deal is are Decker and his agent looking for because I figured this is in the ballpark and it would have been a great situation for Decker. I am not a Tate fan, but he should do really well across from Megatron.

  2. Ken Kelly

    March 12, 2014 at 9:15 pm

    The Jets beat it with $15 million guaranteed. Crazy.

  3. Andrew G

    March 13, 2014 at 9:00 am

    How does this affect reggie bush? For me, his upside is hard to see with j bell staying and better passing options now. I’m hoping that he can get enough hype that I can get something of value for him. As a ppr back is he a top weekly flex play?

    • SJ

      March 13, 2014 at 9:16 am

      R.Bush is still better than a weekly flex play. He’s still the lead in a high-profile, high-scoring, high-passing offense and should still get relatively similar numbers to last year’s RB1 PPR stats.

      Bell signing just signals how great he is already, as a team favorite and advanced-metrics dynamo in that DET offense. Its just locks him up, where losing him would have cost the Lions dearly given his play and versatility.

      Tate just replaces the vacuum at WR2 that the Lion’s have had for years, including all the wasted targets to Burleson.

      If you’re really expecting a huge pull in targets Tate’s way, you also have to consider Pettigrew’s departure and a lack of receiving threat at TE now, not to mention theres no one at WR3 for DET.

      I think – all in all Tate will assume a role that was severely lacking in DET, and is a need there. I dont think he’ll really pull more attention or targets away from the RB’s or Calvin. I guess there’s a chance for that, but would anticipate more of a target pull from the other, mediocre DET WR’s (Durham, Edwards, Broyles (if healthy)) and the TE spot that is now likely to be less of a target hog.

      All in all R.Bush’s value is still dependent on his age, and ability to stay healthy. Maybe with more work toward J.Bell that actually helps Bush more, but his numbers should be the same as long as he’s productive and on two feet – which is never a given with any RB.

      • cuztank

        March 14, 2014 at 4:17 am

        Some great points there SJ, I would have to agree with you on all of them.

      • SJ

        March 14, 2014 at 8:33 am

        Except, it looks like Pettigrew will be back, but its still possible he loses targets, given his productions recently. Either way, if the RB’s (Bush/Bell) indeed lose catches, it shouldnt be by much. Maybe a 10-15 catch drop off, with the carries likely the same, or possibly more between them.

  4. Kado

    March 14, 2014 at 6:10 pm

    I think bush will still hold the same value as last season. I also agree that decker would have been the better choice for Detroit here, for them and for fantasy owners. I don’t roster decker or Tate on any of my teams, so I’m not being biased. I wouldn’t expect much from Tate, he’s tough with good hands, but he’s a wr 3 in fantasy, nothing more. Even in this offense. If you roster him, sell now!!!

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