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DLF’s Weekly Impact Events

Jimmy_Graham

The 2013 fantasy football season is over, but the dynasty season is just beginning. As you prepare for next season, it’s more important than ever to stay on top of the news. You have to pay close attention to everything to stay on top of your dynasty league. For most of us, we do well to steal some time away from our families and jobs to watch the games on Sunday. It becomes difficult to monitor the daily happenings around the league and even more demanding to process how that news affects your dynasty team. 
That’s why we’re here!

Here is a quick look at the events of the past week and how they impact the players on your team.

Dennis Pitta, TE BAL

The Baltimore Ravens and Dennis Pitta agreed to a five-year contract extension. There was never any doubt Pitta would be back with the Ravens, though it appeared as if the team might have to use their franchise tag to assure that happened. Instead, Pitta will spend the next five years alongside Joe Flacco and company. The Ravens offense struggled all around last year with the injury to Pitta and the running game never getting on track. Look for the Ravens to improve in 2014 with a healthy Pitta and a new wide receiver addition expected later in the off-season. Pitta will maintain his status as a mid-range TE1 in dynasty leagues.

Jimmy Graham, TE NO

The Saints and tight end Jimmy Graham were not able to come to a similar agreement on a long-term deal, so instead the team chose Graham as their franchise player. Though he was tagged as a tight end, Graham and his representatives plan to fight the label in hopes of having Graham paid as a wide receiver due to the percentage of time he spent split out wide. In the meantime, it appears as if both sides will also continue working on a long-term contract extension while they’re not battling over Graham’s position designation.

Jeremy Maclin, WR PHI

The Philadelphia Eagles re-signed wide receiver Jeremy Maclin to a one-year deal, which will pay him $5.5 million. After missing the 2013 season due to a torn ACL, most assumed Maclin would hit the open market for the first time in his career. Instead, he chose to stay with the Eagles for one more season. It’s likely Maclin wants to prove he is healthy and can still be a contributor in hopes of a big payday a year from now. With fellow wide receiver Riley Cooper also remaining with the team, the players could cancel each other out, hurting the value of all involved, including veteran DeSean Jackson.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE FA

We’ve known since the NFL Combine that incoming rookie tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins, formerly of Washington, had suffered a stress fracture in his foot. This week, Seferian-Jenkins had surgery on the foot, which will keep him out of action for the next eight weeks – that likely means he won’t be able to work out for any teams prior to the NFL Draft. He should be a steal for dynasty owners in the late second round of rookie drafts.

Anquan Boldin, WR SF

Wide receiver Anquan Boldin agreed to a two-year deal with the San Francisco 49ers. Boldin led the team in receiving in 2013, his first year with the team following his tenure in Baltimore. With Michael Crabtree expected to be fully healthy, Boldin moves back to a complimentary role, one that he has excelled at in the past. Boldin has little dynasty value due to his age, but could be a cheap option for teams needing some wide receiver help.

Giovani Bernard, RB CIN

A Bengals beat writer this week shared his opinion and expectation that sophomore running back Giovani Bernard could near 300 touches in 2014 – that’s news to the ears of Bernard owners. His value has already been steadily increasing due to the lack of quality fantasy starting backs. Expect his value to continue to climb, even though many already consider him a top five dynasty running back.

Jake Locker, QB TEN

It was reported this week that Titans quarterback Jake Locker is still in a walking boot and is not expected to ditch it for a few more weeks. Locker is not close to returning to the practice field, though the team doesn’t really have any other options to challenge Locker for the starting quarterback position. The 2014 season could be his last shot to claim the job on a long-term basis. He has very little dynasty value outside of two quarterback leagues.

Bobby Rainey, RB TB

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers re-signed running back Bobby Rainey to a one-year deal. Rainey had some success following the season ending injury to starter Doug Martin and it appears he is in prime position to be the top reserve in the Bucs’ backfield next season. Rainey only has handcuff value, especially since he will still need to compete with the equally impressive Mike James for snaps and touches.

Pierre Thomas, RB NO

ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported this week that the New Orleans Saints are potentially looking to trade running backs Pierre Thomas and Darren Sproles, along with wide receiver Lance Moore. The Saints are dealing with salary cap issues, especially when it comes to the potential long-term deal for tight end Jimmy Graham. The Saints’ high powered offense is one of the best case scenarios for any skill player, so if any of these three players are dealt, it would negatively impact their dynasty value, which is already low.

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Ryan McDowell

Ryan McDowell

Senior Writer at Dynasty League Football
In addition to his role as Senior Staff Writer here at DLF, Ryan is also a husband, father of three and second grade teacher. Ryan is the commissioner of multiple dynasty leagues, most notably the HyperActive Dynasty Leagues. Here at DLF, Ryan’s focus is on identifying, monitoring and analyzing player value. Check out Ryan’s work on the Weekly Impact Events and Dynasty Stock Market, as well as our dynasty ADP data.
Ryan McDowell

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24 Comments

24 Comments

  1. Raymond

    March 7, 2014 at 8:47 am

    Do you see nick toon carving out a role with the saints or should I cut him?

    • Seth

      March 7, 2014 at 10:01 am

      I like Toon’s size and skill set, but time is running out for him to stay healthy and produce. Look for a younger WR to take his place on your roster.

    • Mike D.

      March 7, 2014 at 11:43 am

      As a Saints fan, I can you that I think Toon stinks and he’s done nothing that wows you when he’s been on the field. I’m all in on Kenny Stills.

    • Ryan McDowell

      March 7, 2014 at 6:29 pm

      Tough to say without knowing who you might add if dropping Toon, but I don’t see Toon as dynasty asset going forward.

  2. Raymond

    March 7, 2014 at 10:18 am

    This will be his third year coming up if i am not mistaken. I dont see how he can be running out of time,unless you mean because others wil be passing him in the dept chart.

  3. SJ

    March 7, 2014 at 11:18 am

    How strongly do we feel Bernard will be a 300 touch back?

    His only real knock coming out was that he wasnt a featured, and more of a complimentary type back. I love hearing this news, but am still hesitant to anoint him as the next RB1, even tho I want to. Does anyone else feel this way?

    • Ryan McDowell

      March 8, 2014 at 7:26 pm

      I’m not sure we’ll see Gio as the every down back that traditional RB1s might be, but he had well over 200 touches as a rookie with BJGE getting plenty of touches too, so I can see Gio increasing his total to around 300, even with another RB playing a significant role.

  4. Raymond

    March 7, 2014 at 12:51 pm

    I agree stills could be the better option,but toon saw only 12 targets last year so it’s kind of hard to say he stinks.i guess I’ll wait and see how things pan out

    • Mike D.

      March 8, 2014 at 5:52 am

      You’ve got to get open to get targets. He just never looked fluid out there, even when he wasn’t getting passes his way. Stills is light years better.

  5. Dave R

    March 7, 2014 at 12:52 pm

    Bernard is not a high volume back based on his build. He’s is a high impact 12-16 touch per game RB (similar but better then CJ Spiller), but his body will break down from the wear and tear if they use him to much in the base running game. He missed some time to injury even in a shared role with BJGE in 2013.

    I say he’s a low-end RB1/high end RB2 for 2014, well back from the the Top 6 all around RBs.

  6. Sensei John Kreese

    March 7, 2014 at 1:36 pm

    Gio Bernard is better than CJ Spiller? Like, as in..a better NFL player?

    That is so incorrect.

    • Scotty G, Chesapeake Beach MD

      March 7, 2014 at 11:13 pm

      I think spiller is the better rb career-wise to this point, but gio is the better dynasty asset going forward. But I only believe that because spiller is built a little better and could definitely handle a bigger workload but the Buffalo coaches have been either geniuses for maybe prolonging Spillers career by limiting his workload or inept at using him sparingly when he could’ve handled more and contributed more. Jackson is serviceable but Spiller is the better natural talent so if they get a coach in there that says let’s get spiller 300 carries and 60 catches watch out. Just my thoughts, please let me kno what u agree and disagree with. Great Site. Karl Safchick is a great writer for this site and a cool person, be sure to check his stuff out too.

  7. Ray

    March 8, 2014 at 8:54 am

    If Thomas and Sproles get traded what does that mean for Mark Ingram’s value? I assume it will go up but how much, he was great in college and if he could get 25-30 touches a game he could be a stud.

    • ariakis73

      March 8, 2014 at 9:28 am

      Pretty sure Khiry Robinson is the play.

      • Ken Kelly

        March 8, 2014 at 9:43 am

        Keep that thought…

    • SJ

      March 8, 2014 at 9:53 am

      Something tells me NO isn’t done at RB.

      Once the cut Thomas, they very well will and should bring in another back via FA/the draft. I highly doubt Payton would feel comfortable relying on two backs with very little track records in Robinson and Ingram and nothing behind them. They’re a sleeper to draft a second day running back

      • esloan35

        March 9, 2014 at 8:00 am

        Ingram has something to prove.. Khiry increases some, but Ingram wont go down without a fight I think. He is just getting truly healthy.

  8. Gus Bazan

    March 8, 2014 at 9:44 pm

    Would you trade RB Ridley for wr cooper of eagles?

    • Ryan McDowell

      March 9, 2014 at 10:56 am

      I’d rather have Ridley, but neither of these are players I’d be targeting.

  9. Slick

    March 9, 2014 at 5:34 am

    I would not. You are almost splitting hairs. Let’s quickly do the math/analysis.

    Ridley has low RB1 upside, although he seems far from that place right now. Playing for Lil Bil means you are never certain of what you are seeing. He can and will change his mind at any time. Heading into season, he has least value, which means great value for you. So selling/trading now is not good.

    Now Riley had a career season. There is no certainty he could repeat it and now Maclin is back. He went from high end WR3 upside to WR4/5 depending on how many balls go around. Heading into season I have DeSean, Maclin, Shady (dumpoffs) and possibly Ertz ahead of him on target distribution. So selling/trading now would be good – FOR THAT OWNER. His peak period to sell woulda been right after the season.

    So…I would still value Ridley more due to talent, value of RB position, and he enters a contract year so at the very least he could land somewhere else in 2015. He does have talent.

    Hope this helps

    • gus bazan

      March 9, 2014 at 6:44 am

      ok
      i have cooper so i guess your answer really is yes accept trade?

      • Slick

        March 9, 2014 at 7:31 am

        yes I would take that trade for sure.
        especially if RB is a position of need for your team.
        depending on team makeup you can make the trade or explore revisiting later.

        RB positional value is a clear deciding factor.

        WR4/5’s are a dime a dozen in today’s game.

  10. Gus Bazan

    March 9, 2014 at 10:50 am

    yep i guess i made it unfair on you without giving you the whole picture. my running backs are kendall hunter, chris ivory,chris johnson,k moreno, adrian peterson,daryl richardson, mike tolbert and deangelo williams. my WR s are donnie avery, doug baldwin, riley cooper, eric decker, julian edelman, brandon gibson, brian hardline, calvin johnson, tavares king and m sanu. in our offense only league you play one/two qbs(flacco and rothberger) , 2-4 rb, 3-5 wr and one to two TE also have pryor and barkley as qbs an my TE are antonio gates , heath miller, greg olsen and zach sudfeld Its my first foray in a dynasty league after several yrs in one and done leagues so not sure how mucked up my draft was. also i have the the third pick in each of the four rounds of our rookie draft coming up in june. I really do appreciate the feedback
    Gus

  11. Slick

    March 9, 2014 at 11:42 am

    Ridley is your guy. At a minimum you gain value that you can use later to further upgrade (assuming your league wheels and deals freely). It looks like you can use an upgrade at both RB and WR. so there is no clear cut path to improvement, but gaining value is always key. Based on where u pick in rookie draft, you should be able to get some good WR’s – 1st and 3rd and RB/TE in 2nd/4th…

    my 2 cents

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