DLF Dynasty League Draft Breakdown: Part Two

Eric Hardter

Since 3,400 word sections don’t really need introductions, let’s jump right into it!  For a reminder of the league specifications, as well as a breakdown of the first four teams, please refer back to Part One.  Onto the next four:

ChrisR124 – Chris Rohrer

Pertinent Players:

Projected Starters            
Name Team Position Pick ADP Change Notes
Aaron Rodgers Packers QB 17 16.8 0.2 I strongly believe you need an elite quarterback to win and now I shouldn’t have to worry about the position for years.
LeSean McCoy Eagles RB 7 7 0 Wanted to a top young back in the first round, and got McCoy. His lateral agility is matched by none and in a Chip Kelly offense his skill set will be maximized.
Andre Johnson Texans WR 55 39 16 Johnson can be a PPR monster. He might be 31 but I’m convinced he has plenty of years left.
Steve Smith Panthers WR 106 94.5 11.5 Uncontested number one target on this team. He’s aging but he’s shown he’s still got gas in the tank. Getting this kind of production so late is still worth it.
Jimmy Graham Saints TE 18 17.5 0.5 Gronk or Graham? Gronk or Graham? For me it came down to the fact that I have more confidence in Graham’s looming contract situation than Gronk’s forearm.
Montee Ball Broncos FLEX 69 65.3 3.7 Ball is 22 and can be a workhorse. It seems like that is exactly why Denver drafted him and he can be productive back with a nose for the end zone.
Danny Amendola Patriots FLEX 66 63.8 2.2 Looking for a huge increase in production from him this year, provided he can stay on the field. Can’t wait to see what he can do with Tom Brady at the helm.
Anquan Boldin 49ers FLEX 210 164.7 45.3 Probably just a short-term answer, but last year still showed how effective he can be.
Key Subs
Bryce Brown Eagles RB 114 113.8 0.2 Showed his upside and figures to still have a decent role in the  offense. Not to mention I have only one true starting RB and need McCoy insurance.
Sidney Rice Seahawks WR 138 145.3 -7.3 Has the skill and still on the young side. Definitely carries risk, but we’re at the point in the draft where that’s more than acceptable.
Rod Streater Raiders WR 151 190 -39 Showed a lot of good things last year and opened the door for himself. Should have a much increased role this year and still impressing coaches.
Dwayne Allen Colts TE 127 142.3 -15.3 I wanted to make sure I would have him from the beginning. He can do it all and his upside is tremendous.
Sleepers
Tyler Wilson Raiders QB 223 224 -1 Can he be the second Wilson in as many years to beat out Matt Flynn? Either way he has some good long-term upside. As a late QB3, very happy to have him.
Travaris Cadet Saints RB 282 241 41 Future Sproles role?
Markus Wheaton Steelers WR 111 115.7 -4.7 Didn’t want to miss Wheaton here. He’s another young receiving prospect I was targeting in this area.
LaMichael James 49ers RB 175 165.2 9.8 Runs like he’s shot straight out of a cannon. People say he’s too small, but others have overcome more. Should get an increased opportunity early this season.

Other PlayersQBChase Daniel, KC, Jake Locker, TEN; RBRex Burkhead, CIN, Justin Forsett, JAX, Evan Royster, WSH, DeAngelo Williams, CAR, Kerwynn Williams, IND; WRDamaris Johnson, PHI; TEDelanie Walker, TEN

2014 Draft PicksFirst Round – two; Third Round – one; Fourth Round – one

Chris’ Strategy:  My overall strategy going into the draft was to make sure I had a top quarterback and a top tight end from the early rounds.  I would have liked to have more solid running backs in my rotation (as part of my original strategy), but I think that was the sacrifice I paid (round three and four) for trading up for an extra second round pick.  I also really wanted an extra 2014 first round pick if that was possible.

If given the opportunity I would have traded back into the round five area or so.  That didn’t happen, so I’m just holding onto the pick with no qualms about that part.  The last part was that I wanted to have my strong foundation, and then just acquire guys with a lot of upside.  I don’t mind the boom or bust picks at all if I have my few top guys I can count on.  Then a few years down the line hopefully I can hit on some and have a high upside team.

My Take:  Considering Chris traded out of both the third and fourth rounds, I still think he managed to fill out his starting lineup quite well.  He also did a great job “bargain shopping,” as amazingly every one of his starters was selected after their average positions.  His positional advantages at quarterback and tight end should keep him in every weekly contest.

With that said, my biggest qualms are with the certainty, and longevity of his point-scoring ability.  He’ll be starting three 30-plus receivers, as well as the injury-prone Danny Amendola and an unproven rookie in Montee Ball.  I’m also not sold on his quarterback depth.  Rodgers is a stud, but has missed a few games from time to time.  Unfortunately, backup Jake Locker has shown little to nothing during his two years in the league.  The 2014 draft looms large as a pivotal point for Chris’ future.

The Admiral Ackbars – Corey Mauer

Pertinent Players:

Projected Starters            
Name Team Position Pick ADP Change Notes
Peyton Manning Broncos QB 84 87.2 -3.2 Manning is going to be dominant for another year or two and I wasn’t crazy about other players at this point, so I decided to abandon my strategy a bit to get this aging superstar.
Adrian Peterson Vikings RB 6 3.2 2.8 Proven superstar that is very resilient to injury, what more could you ask for from your first pick?
Vincent Jackson Bucs WR 37 40.8 -3.8 I think the Bucs team makes big strides this year and V-Jax plays a big role.
Marques Colston Saints WR 30 65.8 -35.8 I like his skill set and I really like his QB.
Jermaine Gresham Bengals TE 123 156.2 -33.2 Was planning on using this pick to get Cook at TE, but that plan failed, so I’ll get Gresham here instead.
Matt Forte Bears FLEX 19 19 0 Holding to my stock-up-on-backs strategy, lots of good WRs were still available, so I chose another workhorse back.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Bengals FLEX 139 108.2 30.8
James Jones Packers FLEX 94 91.5 2.5 Talented WR in a high scoring offense, I’ll take him to give me some more depth at the position. I hear the guy throwing him the ball is pretty good too.
Key Subs
Matt Stafford Lions QB 54 62.5 -8.5 Stafford is a good, young QB and I think the addition of Bush helps this offense a lot.
Geno Smith Jets QB 147 175.3 -28.3 I don’t think he will be successful at all early on, but maybe, just maybe, the Jets can get things sorted out in the long run and Smith has a chance to do well.
Daryl Richardson Rams RB 78 98.5 -20.5 Somebody has to carry the ball in St. Louis, right?
Vincent Brown Chargers WR 115 100.7 14.3 Really liked him going into last season, and then he broke his ankle. Let’s try it again this year.
Sleepers
Stephan Taylor Cardinals RB 118 183.2 -65.2
Darrius Heyward-Bey Colts WR 174 175.3 -1.3 He undoubtedly has talent, despite underachieving throughout is career, I’m taking this shot hoping Luck brings the best out of him
Terrance Williams Cowboys WR 143 177.3 -34.3
Zach Ertz Eagles TE 163 155.5 7.5

Other PlayersQBRyan Nassib, NYG; RBKenjon Barner, CAR, Knile Davis, KC, Ray Graham, HOU; WRMalcom Floyd, SD, Brandon Lloyd, FA, Golden Tate, SEA; TEZach Miller, SEA, Tony Moeaki, KC

2014 Draft PicksFirst Round – one; Second Round – two; Third Round – one; Fourth round – one

Corey’s Strategy:  I’d say my overall strategy was to wait at quarterback since there are a lot of high scoring signal callers out there and try to load up at running back and receiver early and often. Quarterbacks, barring injury, are more consistent scorers over longer periods of time, so by getting a good one, I should be pretty set for years. Backs and receivers, however, go through a lot more turnover and I don’t find them to be as consistent. By drafting as many of them as I can get my hands on, I increase my chances of hitting pay dirt on a few of them.

My Take:  Corey drafted a veteran-laden team full of players who are, arguably, their respective offenses’ number-one options.  Many of his starters have provided consistent production on both a weekly and yearly basis, meaning he’ll be a tough matchup for anyone in the league.  Almost as importantly, he supplemented these older players with a series of intriguing rookie prospects.

With that said, there were a few of Corey’s moves I found to be questionable.  First, I would’ve liked to see him round out his starting lineup before drafting a second quarterback – two signal caller’s in the draft’s first eight rounds seems like overkill.  Also, according to the ADP, he over-drafted a few key players.  Colston, while reliable, likely could’ve been taken much later than the third round.  Ditto for players like Gresham, Smith, Richardson and Taylor.  Corey’s lineup still turned out pretty well, but it’s fair to wonder if it could’ve been even better.

Fine Corinthian Leatherheads – Ken Moody

Pertinent Players:

Projected Starters            
Name Team Position Pick ADP Change Notes
Russell Wilson Seahawks QB 52 59.3 -7.3 I wanted to acquire the guy I feel is the last young, mobile, high-upside QB left on the board. Plus he’s a great guy to root for, and that offense is going to be something special.
Ray Rice Ravens RB 11 9.2 1.8 I have my concerns about Rice, but at this point I still believe he is one of the top 4 RB’s in the game.
Mike Wallace Dolphins WR 35 42.8 -7.8 Meh. Really couldn’t wait any longer at WR. Hope Wallace and Tannehill build a strong rapport quickly.
Jordy Nelson Packers WR 38 43.2 -5.2 I think Nelson is chronically undervalued. Happy to have him.
Vernon Davis 49ers TE 89 75.3 13.7 The last high-upside TE remaining, and I am happy to get him. If he gel’s with Kaep he could return to being a top option. He’d not quite old yet, but is getting up there in age.
Marshawn Lynch Seahawks FLEX 14 14 0 Lynch is another RB who I believe has high upside even with the other quality depth on the SEA roster behind him.
Ryan Mathews Chargers FLEX 56 55.8 0.2 Completing my trifecta of heartburn inducing RB’s. But the value at this spot is just too much to pass up.
Danario Alexander Chargers FLEX 124 92.2 31.8 Hate having two WR’s from the same team. But *IF* he can stay healthy, he can put up the stats. And, he’s only 24. Could be a terrific value here.
Key Subs
Eli Manning Giants QB 131 123 8 As solid a backup QB as you can hope for.
Johnathan Franklin Packers RB 110 94.3 15.7 Betting Lacy doesn’t stay healthy. He’s good enough to take over the starting job.
Keenan Allen Chargers WR 86 106.8 -20.8 He’s got a very real shot to be the #1 WR in that SD offense. At this stage of the game, that’s a huge value.
Martellus Bennett Bears TE 134 141.3 -7.3 Bennett has some upside in CHI, could be a top ten TE.
Sleepers
Joique Bell Lions RB 230 213.7 16.3
Bilal Powell Jets RB 278 228.2 49.8 He’s not great, but then, he’s not exactly sitting behind AP and TRich.
Jon Baldwin Chiefs WR 206 206 0 He’s a knucklehead, but he does have some talent. With a new HC and offensive system coming to town, he still has a shot at fantasy relevance.
Greg Little Browns WR 155 169.3 -14.3 Cleveland plans on him playing a significant role in the offense. Opposite Gordon he should see some soft coverage. For a round 13 flier, I’m willing to gamble a Little.

Other PlayersQBChristian Ponder, MIN, Philip Rivers, SD; RBJonathan Dwyer, PIT, Robert Turbin, SEA; WRArrelious Benn, PHI, Marquise Goodwin, BUF, Donald Jones, NE, Jacoby Jones, BAL; TEBrent Celek, PHI

2014 Draft PicksFirst Round – one; Third Round – one; Fourth Round – one

Ken’s Strategy:  In leagues where the competition may be a little suspect, or I’m just not that invested in the league, I’m more inclined to experiment with different draft strategies.  In this league however, with this competition, I am playing it straight.  I really want to win.

In this scenario I typically go with a fairly balanced approach.  I look to lock up the young stud, long-term assets first.  I’ll then fill in with top-tier running backs, then quarterbacks and tight ends.  However, you also have to adjust your strategy to the draft, and in this draft, I definitely ended up rolling with more or less BPA strategy, leaning towards receivers and running backs early.

I was trying to form a team that will compete now, but still have enough youth to remain competitive for a while to come.  Players who are neither too old, nor paying a premium for young upside talent.  In the end I feel I have a roster that meets those objectives.  My receivers are not ideal, but outside of that I’m really happy with how this team came together.  I definitely feel like I should be in the hunt right out of the gate.

My Take:  The front end of Ken’s starting lineup is dynamite (note:  I’m not just saying that because he’s my boss).  Wilson is primed to take a huge step forward in 2013, and his high-end running backs are both potentially top-five guys.  I’ve written previously about my expectations for Wallace, and Nelson was a WR1 as recently as 2011.  Even Davis gets a bump due to Michael Crabtree’s Achilles injury.

What concerns me is the bottom-end of Ken’s starters.  Both Mathews and Alexander (is someone a Chargers fan maybe?) carry red flags, be it due to inconsistency, injuries or both.  Though I think he stocked up well on young players and rookies, I’m not sure they’re ready to contribute right away – having only six of eight starters with proven stability won’t get it done in this league.  Nonetheless, Ken’s future seems bright.

DLF_Jeff – Jeff Haverlack

Pertinent Players:

Projected Starters            
Name Team Position Pick ADP Change Notes
Colin Kaepernick 49ers QB 50 48.3 1.7 Wanted to make sure I’d land either Newton or Kaepernick.  Cam went just prior and I’m happy to have the uber talented Kaep.
Alfred Morris Redskins RB 26 19.3 6.7 When Shanahan finds a good back, he rides him. While I don’t expect he’ll match his numbers from last year, I think he’s good for 1,300+ yards and double digit TD’s.
Calvin Johnson Lions WR 2 2.8 -0.8 I would have taken him first overall so was relieved to see A.J. Green selected at 1.01.  I’m pleased to have Megatron anchoring my team.
Victor Cruz Giants WR 23 27 -4 He’s a borderline WR1 as is and paired with Johnson, I’ve already got a good duo that opposing won’t want to see on Sundays
Kyle Rudolph Vikings TE 74 76 -2 TE’s had started to go and I wanted to get one that was young and the center of the offense.  Considered waiting for Vernon Davis or Finley but they have more risk attached.
Rashard Mendenhall Cardinals FLEX 71 102.2 -31.2 I see nothing keeping him off the field with Arians bringing him in.  When Mendy is healthy he’s a good RB2 and that’s what I’m expecting out of him.
Eric Decker Broncos FLEX 47 59 -12 He was a top receiver in 2012 with Manning as his QB, and even if  Welker takes looks away he’ll be highly productive.  My receivers are monsters thus far.
Jeremy Maclin Eagles FLEX 60 74.8 -14.8 In fantasy I see him more as a lower end WR2 but with my receiver group, he fits very well.
Key Subs
Michael Vick Eagles QB 146 157.7 -11.7 I’m not a big fan of Vick but this offense could be a new start for him.
Ben Tate Texans RB 98 106.2 -8.2 Won’t be shocked to see Tate starting this year after an injury to Foster, or next year. Either way, this is a play on the future.
Mike Williams Bucs WR 95 102.7 -7.7 Everyone prefers Vincent Jackson, but Williams is in a contract year and should be playing his butt off in 2013. To me, he’s a lock for double digit scores again as well as 1,000 yards.
Jared Cook Rams TE 119 111.2 -7.8 Another young TE in a good situation.  Pure value selection here as I know many were looking at him.
Sleepers
Matt Barkley Eagles QB 218 208.8 9.2 I’m intrigued by the Chip Kelly Offense.
Joseph Randle Cowboys RB 170 148.5 21.5 Not a big fan of Randle but playing behind DeMarco “Paper Tiger” Murray could present opportunity.  Randle reminds me a lot of Murray.
Stephen Hill Jets WR 122 138.2 -16.2 He’s falling because of a disappointing first year along with injury.  He’s ultra dynamic and reminds me of Demarius Thomas.
Jarius Wright Vikings WR 194 227.8 -33.8 The Vikings traded away Harvin and Wright has shown some similar dynamic with speed and quick-twitch skills.  In PPR, I think he could be a steal.

Other Players:  QB – Josh Freeman, TB, Matt Scott, JAX; RB – Jacquizz Rodgers, ATL, Jeremy Stewart, OAK, Daniel Thomas, MIA; WR – Andrew Hawkins, CIN, Andre Roberts, AZ, Ryan Swope, AZ; TE – Heath Miller, PIT

2014 Draft PicksThird Round – one; Fourth Round – one

Jeff’s Strategy:  My strategy heading into the draft was really, for once, not to trade out of the first round and amass third and fifth round picks, which is typically what I do.  That strategy is easier to do when you are picking in the middle to late first round.  As luck would have it, I landed the second pick.  If I hadn’t landed a top-four selection, I may have selected the last pick in the round as I love having back-to-back selections without having to worry about being sniped.

Format wise, it was obvious I would be drafting receivers with at least my first two picks and I was planning on using my third rounder on a receiver as well unless a back that I couldn’t allow to fall was still on the board.  In a PPR and start-one format for running backs, I will overweigh receivers happily.

In the end, I didn’t make any significant trades other than moving my first and second round selections in 2014 for an early round selection (fifth round) this year.  At the beginning of the draft I had decided that I would be drafting younger and attempt to get a ring in the first year, rather than going older and having an even better chance of winning the championship.  Hey – there’s money on the line here!

My Take:  As Jeff mentioned above, he has one of the league’s elite receiving corps (note:  again, the fact that Jeff signs my checks has nothing to do with this praise).  Even moving past his starters, he still has players like Williams who could potentially start on other rosters.  Getting young studs like Morris, Kaepernick and Rudolph enhances his starting lineup even further.

His team’s most glaring need is at running back.  Morris is a beast, but his value takes a slide in a PPR setting.  Mendenhall as a RB2 is worrisome, as there’s no telling whether he’ll even receive starters’ reps.  Other than that, I don’t really have any other qualms with Jeff’s team other than his penchant for over-drafting players, even if only slightly.  Regardless, I think he’s a contender both now, and in the coming years.

We’ll finish up the team breakdowns in tomorrow’s final installment!

Follow me on Twitter @EDH_27

eric hardter