77 Responses to “2013 Dynasty Rookie Rankings: Consensus Top Ten”

  1. Ray White says:

    no woods?

    • Ken Kelly says:

      He came in at #11 on our initial averaged board.

      • kcDemonSlayer says:

        Yeah I have Woods in the 11-15 range as well. The thing I like about his situation is that he was interviewed at the combine and they asked him which QBs that had been throwing to him really “stood out”. Without hesitation he said EJ Manuel and no one else. Now they are team mates and already have chemistry so I like it a lot. But I have Austin, Hopkins, Patterson, Wheaton, Hunter ahead of Woods at WR. Throw in the 5 Rbs going ahead of him and 2 QBs and he gets pushed back to the early teens for me.

  2. kcDemonSlayer says:

    I think in a PPR that Gio and Tavon are in the top 5. I can’t see those other WRs (especially with Locker, Ponder, and Shaub as their QBs woohoo!) going ahead of LeVeon Bell and Montee Ball in my league though. Situations are too good…and in a draft starved for bellcow RBs they are the 2 most likely IMO so they will be in the top 5.

    1) Gio
    2) Ball
    3) Bell
    4) Tavon
    5) Lacy
    6) Hopkins
    7) Patterson
    8) Geno
    9) Stacey
    10) EJ

    • It will be very league and need dependent for sure. That’s what’s nice about this draft. No consensus top pick so coaches are free to draft what they need without knowing that they’re passing on a better talent. This is truly a guessing game as to who’ll be on top in the end.

    • Ken Kelly says:

      It’s the scary thing about this draft. Ball was a fringe first rounder based on talent and Bell was a likely second round pick….now three days later, they’re being talked about with the 1.01, 1.02 or 1.03.

      I’d caution everyone to be a little patient. Owners tend to overdraft based on situation and the best players always emerge. Think about players like Aaron Rodgers or Steven Jackson who we all knew were talented, but had to sit behind the likes of Brett Favre or Marshall Faulk for a while.

      Don’t just throw away your pre-draft sheet and try to do your best to balance talent vs. situation.

      • Ken Kelly says:

        Works the same the other way around. I wouldn’t just scratch players like Ray Graham or Da’Rick Rogers because they weren’t drafted.

  3. Joe Kool says:

    Where do you guys rank Franklin? 12? 16? 33?

    • kcDemonSlayer says:

      I have Franklin ranked at 15 right now. I think both QBs and at least 1 TE will come off the board ahead of him.

      • Jacob Brooks says:

        I don’t know your league set up but if anyone in my league is taking one of these QBs ahead of Franklin I’d be thrilled and laugh all the way to tge bank. I mean your talking about a top 5 back in the draft who come week one will only have 1 back in front of him (who is also a rookie with a lot questions surrounding him and a history of injuries) and in that offense either back could be great so explain why you would take Eifert Smith or Manuel over him?

        Geno is best qb in draft and his situation is awful. Eifert has another first rd TE to share targets with, and Manuel might not start for 2 years and when he does who knows if he’ll be anymore than the #30-#32 qb…

        Unless your in a 16 man league and are that desperate for qb just stay away from them. Take the RBs and WRs that could easily be RB2s or WR2s within a year.

        • John Dodson says:

          unless you’re in a QB superflex league!

        • kcDemonSlayer says:

          Considering Fleener and Tannehill went in the 10-14 range last year I don’t see why Geno, EJ, and/or the most valued TE wouldn’t come off the board around the same time. In every draft there is a line drawn on the top 50 list. Starters are on one side of the line and players that may start sometime down the road are on the other side of the line. In my experience, rarely is a player that is not projected to be a starter drafted over a guy who is projected as a starter regardless of position.

        • Jason says:

          My league starts 2 QB’s and a good QB is the highest scoring position, so the QB’s will go early and often in my draft. I stockpile young QB’s as trade bait later on and it’s worked out well for me so far.

    • Jacob Brooks says:

      Sorry, in response to your original question, I have Franklin 10th at worst. Great situation which is a RBBC at worst with a mid season injury starter very possible, and I wouldn’t be shocked if he had that job outright by year 2. There’s risk but its a much better risk than a lot of picks… Not to mention he’s bound to be undervalued so you should get him for much cheaper than a guy like Bernard or Lacy. At the very least he’s great trade bait to gain leverage on Lacy owners.

  4. Scott Peak says:

    As a Chargers fan, I was ecstatic when they took Allen in round 3. I’m not concerned about his PCL. A grade 2 tear requires a few months of rehab, and it’s not a surprise that his 40 time was not ideal. I expect Allen to be ready by TC, barring something unusual arising. I would be very happy if Allen slid to the back of the first round in my rookie drafts.

  5. Matt Feit says:

    I agree about what Scott says on Keenan Allen– If I can get him at 6 and 7 in two drafts I have this summer I’ll consider those steals. I like the WRs more than the RBs in 2013 thus far.

    Is it just me or is early 30s where this draft completely falls off the cliff? Just over a dozen Wrs and RBs of interest maybe 15 of each then 3-5 QBs and 3-4 TEs and those are probably pretty generous guesstimates to me.

    That’s the reason a high draft pick is still important this year– not because the difference between 1.1 and 1.7 is all that bad but your 2nd and 3rd rounders are still likely to be players you can start at some point if you draft well.

    • chad six says:

      IMO there’s only 2 QB’s, 7 RB’s, 15 WR’s, and 4 TE’s that are solid players. Lot of WR depth. After that, it gets dicey…..

  6. BAMNation says:

    I need RB help and have late picks – so will have to lump it until next year or trade for an RB – Was hoping a few would drop but Fankie and Latti will eb gone by the 15/16 for sure

    • Jacob Brooks says:

      I replied to this below.

      • Jacob Brooks says:

        If I was you I would pray someone took lattimore that early. SCar trainers privately said his knee is destroyed and James Andrew said the positive note on the injury was that he didn’t lose his leg.

        Let someone else draft him too early and if he turns into something 3 years from now so be it, but most likely you’ll get to see them waste a roster spot for a couple years

        • chad six says:

          Yeah I don’t think I would touch Lattimore until the 3rd round. The rumblings I’ve been hearing, aren’t good at all :(

  7. Johnny says:

    Austin at #2? I hate seeing that being I traded into the 3 hole months ago with Austin being my target.. Oh well, still gonna be tough for teams 1 and 2 to pull the trigger on slot WR when both teams are desperate for RBs..
    10 man league going on 20 years..
    RG3
    Ryan
    AP
    T Rich
    S Jackson
    AJ Green
    Julio
    Percy
    Stevie Johnson
    Graham
    Let’s get it on!!

    • Salmonstud says:

      Why post your roster Johnny? Brag Brag Brag

      • Derek says:

        Lol. It is a very good looking lineup. BUT, I’m far more impressed when I see a top to bottom studly lineup in dynasty 16 TEAM LEAGUES. Its far less often you see it, and when you do, you know that guy knows his stuff in evaluating young talent. Are he’s one heck of a salesman. …ive known a few of those too.

      • Aaron Katyl says:

        I was thinking the same thing…I would be embarrassed to be in a 10 team league, let alone post my roster littered with studs b/c there is little challenge when everyone has a solid roster…

        • Bobby Richardson says:

          lol…True assessment but he does have one heck of a team…u guys are silly

          • Duck says:

            Silly? It’s a 10 team league. Everybody has a very solid team. Thats what they were saying. No denying it’s good looking, but probably 3-4 others better or as good. 16 team is where its at.

        • mikey b says:

          I beg to differ on your opinion. I’m in a 10 team league and there’s quite alot of parity in our league. Yes, there are some stronger teams as well as weaker ones, but we keep 17 and max roster is 29. My point is the talent pool in free agency is probably just as thin as larger leagues.

          • sixshooter says:

            Yup deeper roster but in our 12 team league, roster depth is 27 which mean means 324 roster spots taken in the league as compared to 290 in a 10 team league with 29 roster spots. Those 34 players missing from the waiver wire are HUGE! Have to agree with the above statements!

    • Jacob Brooks says:

      I love Austin but if someone takes him at 2 just take Bernard or Lacy and be thrilled. You have 2 older backs so that might be best for an SJax replacement anyway.

    • John Martelin says:

      That roster is so freaking ridiculous why would you even be concerned if you don’t get Austin?

      • chad six says:

        I’m in a deep 16 team league and I have a feeling Bernard and Bell will be the first two taken and Austin #3.

  8. BPP says:

    Would love it to be true, but I really don’t see many leagues where one of the top 4 RBs is available at 1.08.

    • Derek says:

      No that doesnt happen much, if at all. 2 of my 16 team leagues, the top 4 RB will be gone by pick 5-6. But in another 16tm league I play in where we keep 17 and draft 16 rounds to build a 33 man roster, we start 3 DL 3 LB 3 DB each week. That’s the only league it WANT happen in, we only start one RB each week too. So There’s a chance the #3 or #4 RB could be there at pick 1.16. Lots of IDP players taken like Ogletree, A.Brown, E.Reid, ect ect. I love two RB THIS year, M.Ball and C.Michael….perhaps the rookie from Stanford at Arizona too!

  9. Jacob Brooks says:

    Man I wish you all were in my dynasty league if you are considering taking one of these QBs in the first 3 rounds. There’s a ton of first and 2nd round value to be had and taking a qb that would struggle to produce as much as a free agent qb you could pick up at any time is laughable… But do what you want. Its a dynasty league so look 2 or 3 years down the road and grab these wrs and RBs that can be key contributers in a year or two before you even think about touching one of these qbs.

    • Derek says:

      Agree. I do not like any QB this yr, im sure one will emerge and be good in a couple years, but my odds of hitting on that are slim. Id rather wait til next year and try and grab the Louisville QB , cant remember his name, but when I watched him vs Florida last year, I said, thats my replacement for Brady in the futre….kid is real!

      • Jacob Brooks says:

        Bridgewater. He looks good for sure. Mels got him top 5 next year but everyone had Barkley top 10 this year so only time will tell.

        I would not even consider drafting a QB this year unless you have need and/or can take a flier in the late 4th early 5th.

        Not sure why anyone would consider one of these TEs until maybe late second. Eifert could be great but not in a great situation. I’ve got him 19th on my board but really the ceiling for a TE just isn’t nearly as high as the ceiling for RBs and WRs. Grab a guy who could be a fantasty wr2 or 3 before you think TE. Its not sexy but you can generally add one via FA who wont score much less than top rookie TEs if less at all.

        • Derek says:

          I’m debating trading my 1.04 this yr, for a 1st next yr. Without throwing out my whole roster, i’ll just say, im loaded, won 3 of last 5 titles and was the best team offensively and defensively in 2010 and 2012 when I didn’t win it. I WANT BRIDGRWATER IN 2014…. I know i’ll be picking 16th, 15th, or 14th at best next year, no way I get him…..I graded D.Murray for the 1.04 this yr and really have NO true needs…..Think its a good move to find a team I know will have a top 3 pick next year and give him the 1.04 now?? Brady can’t play forever, and my ego can’t take thinking of being a 3, 4, 5, 6 seedish team in the future! Lol

          • Jacob Brooks says:

            Hard to predict that accurately where teams will finish or what next years QB crop will look like. What if yiu trsde it but only have a 4-8 pick nect year and Bridgewater has a bad year or a great yesr and hes picked before you?

            Brady has a good 3 years left and you can get a real contributor at 4 this year so I’d keep the pick and cross the Brady bridge when you have to.

    • Jeffery says:

      It all depends on your team’s roster and system.

      In bigger leagues, especially 32, if you don’t have one of the sure-thing starting QB’s you can be in a lot of trouble.

      There is only 1 starting qb to go around for 32 teams. If a few are doubled up at QB, such as those who drafted Wilson, it means that another team is out of a QB.

      The double-stocked QB teams demand ransoms for their extra QB that would decimate your team.

      If you have a good enough team, it’s pretty important that you try to land a rookie qb if at all possible if they might start.

    • chad six says:

      There are only 2 QB’s I would draft this year and that is Wilson and Manuel, the rest I wouldn’t touch.

  10. Jacob Brooks says:

    Bam Nation take a shot on Ellington and Stacy. Both have talent and are in favorable situarions. They’ll start 3rd on the depth chart but Alfred Morris started 4th or 5th last year.

    • SJ says:

      I’d like Stacy the most of those two.

      Hes got legit talent and if Pead flops (which is possible) he’d be in line for a good portion of lead back carries, and likely split with Richardson, if not beat him out (obv a stretch). Of all the drafts flier RB’s, theres a good chance he contributes as a rookie.

      • Jacob Brooks says:

        I think there is a lot of RB contribution this year but a lot of risk. Stacy is in a good spot tho with only two sophomores in front of him.

        He had great production with only an average line against SEC defenses. i hate Pead to be honest but theyre going to give him a lot of chances. In the end Stacy translates to the nfl much better… Richardson could have a breakout year though so that’s your only concern but picking that late its a great risk reward option.

      • SJ says:

        I understand the thinking behind Richardson doing well this year, but still believe Stacy is a supreme talent in comparison. Pead hasnt produced as of yet, so quite honestly, this backfield is anyones for the taking.

        For the value of a 2nd round draft pick, Id buy Stacy for that in a heartbeat. The talent and opportunity is there, and no one is talking about it. Just wait.. that’ll change soon enough.

        • Jacob Brooks says:

          I wouldn’t say Richardson is inferior to Stacy by any means. He had a good rookie year and it could’ve been great but he had SJax in front of him. Don’t dismiss Richardson just because he was drafted so late.

          Stacy has the ability to share duties and maybe even win that job but there’s a lot he has to do and a lot that needs to go right for him for that to happen

          • sixshooter says:

            Have to agree on Richardson…..I was jealous of his owner last season after seeing him play! But Stacy will definitely compete. Just don’t count on him to win the job!

  11. Steve perry says:

    Ryan grant was inside or right at top 10 in terms of rb scoring prior to leg injury. The ahman green comment was erroneous.

  12. Chalkkk says:

    With Franklin coming in at considerably less cost than Lacy (and more talent imo), if I have a top 3 pick and need a RB i’d much rather choose Bell over him, given Bell’s excellent situation and a clear opening to featured, 3 back work. I’d even take that over the uncertainty around Bernard.

    It cant just be me that envisions GB turning to the best runner they have for long stretches, considering their MO. GB wants to stay with a back and ride him out if hes performing well. I can easily see Lacy being hurt and Franklin running away with the job. 2nd round, 4th round… it really doesnt matter in the end. The talent is there, especially if Franklins only costing a early second round dynasty pick. Thats tremendous value.

    • Jacob Brooks says:

      Agree completely

      • chad six says:

        If someone was going to consider drafting the Lacy/Franklin combo, you might as well do the Bernard/Burkhead combo. Would be a much cheaper combo to get. I think in 2014 Bernard will start, Burkhead will be the handcuff, and BJGE will be gone. You might be able to acquire Burkhead on the waiver wire and not even have to use a draft pick. Bell might be the better pick for 2013, but Bernard will be the better pick for the next 2-3 years. Just food for thought…..

        • Jacob Brooks says:

          Because burkhead is about 1/4 as good as franklin and because Gio isn’t a lock to start this year. They’re playing behind a guy who will at least get the bulk of the touches this year and as I said Burkhead will likely never be a fantasy factor.

          Either lacy or franklin will start and one will have a great first year. In theory one could be a RB2 this year and the other a solid flex play when needed. They have zero competition on that roster.

          • ChiefsHonk says:

            But who wants the starting RB for Green Bay? They will never lead the NFL in rushing….even the Chiefs lead the NFL in rushing within the last couple years.

  13. Joe Farrell says:

    how much should we discount hopkins being that he is in camp with DJ Swearinger – scary dude

  14. Brian Mounts says:

    I am in the fifth year of a 10 team ppr dynasty league. We start 1QB, 3RBs, 3WRs, 2 flex, 1 TE, 1K, 2DL, 3LBs, 3DBs, and 1 DP. I have been offered QB Russell Wilson and the number 6 and 14 overall picks in rookie draft for Marshawn Lynch and Tony Romo. I would still have Stafford at QB and a RBs Jamaal Charles, Chris Johnson, Lamarr Miller,Steven Ridley, Shane Vereen, and Ben Tate. I already have the 8th overall pick and after numerous mock drafts I concluded I could draft RB Eddie Lacy at #6, Jonathan Franklin at #8, and Knile Davis at #14. Or I could keep Lynch and Romo and take RB Marcus Lattimore with my own #8 overall pick and let him bloom on my bench. Which route would you guys go???

    • Jacob Brooks says:

      I would do anything but draft lattimore even close to that high. At best your only wasting a pick for 2 to 3 years. Way to many contributors at 8 to take him.

  15. Brian Mounts says:

    No need for WRs I have Megatron, Fitzgerald, Dez B, Julio J, Michael Floyd, Pierre Garcon, and Josh Gordon. I also own Jimmy Graham at TE but only have LaDarius Green as backup. Same team diffrent question. If I traded Lynch would you rather draft TE Tyler Eiffert at #14 instead of handcuffing Charles w/Knile Davis. Also would you rather draft Lattimore at #8 or handcuff Eddie Lacy w/Jonathan Franklin at #8??

    • chad six says:

      Lacy and Franklin. By getting those two, you are hedging your bets.

      • chad six says:

        Or you could try trading your #6 pick and your second round pick and move up then pick up Bernard, then pick up Burkhead on your waiver wire because I doubt he gets drafted and he will be Bernard’s handcuff. Then, you could still use your #8 on Lattimore. The Bernard-Burkhead combo is much cheaper than the Lacy-Franklin combo. Don’t let Burkhead’s slow 40 fool you, the boy has quick feet, and can play. He looked very good against Georgia, an SEC defense, in their bowl game.

  16. Makakilo MooN says:

    Top eight picks of the CSTC draft. I would love Justin Hunter at 11, and thank you for confirming it.

    1. MN Snow Dawgs: Tavon Austin
    2. Bo Knows Diddley: Giovanni Bernard
    3. Bo Knows Diddley: Leveon Bell
    4. MN Snow Dawgs: Cord Patterson
    5. Makakilo MooNs: Montee Ball
    6. Wizards of Aus: Deandre Hopkins
    7. Bo Knows Diddley: Keenan Allen
    8. Clutch Co.: Eddie Lacy

    Just thought I would share.

  17. Cyrus says:

    I landed Austin at 1.04 in my league. Ball, Bell, Bernard were the top 3.

  18. chad six says:

    I think Kelce will surprise alot of peeps next year and should be a top 10 pick. I see alot of Grankowski in him…..

  19. Ryan Meyer says:

    I have the number 3 and 4 picks and want Austin. The 2 guys ahead of me will likely take rb’s but could trade out. Would it be crazy to trade the 3 and 4 for the number 1 and 13 to get Austin? Or would it be better to just draft the next 2 best rb’s? I have trich, mccoy and mjd and no other starting backs.

    • Cyrus says:

      I would sit tight at 3 and 4. You’ll be fine.

      I got Austin at 1.04. If they happen to take him 1.01 or 1.02, you are better off with the 3 AND the 4 than Austin and the 13.

  20. Derek says:

    What would the Top 10 look like in a 2QB league look like? I’m in 2 of those… I would assume Geno and EJ would be in there.

    • sixshooter says:

      As others have stated……if a QB is taken in round one…..it is a mistake…..unless the rest of your roster is stacked and you can take a flyer on a QB without missing a beat although I am definitely not familiar with a 2 QB starter league!

  21. Jacob Brooks says:

    I would do anything but draft lattimore even close to that high. At best your only wasting a pick for 2 to 3 years. Way to many contributors at 8 to take him.

  22. Ches says:

    Where would you put Zac Stacy? 20?

    • ChiefsHonk says:

      More like 10. If there is any backfield up for grabs it is STL. Bring in Jake Long and WR threats to ease the burdon on the run game. DRich and Pead are not feature back material. I am high on Stacy and at the back of the 1st round who deserves to be drafted over him? I would rather have Stacy over any WR other than Austin/Hopkins/Patterson….and even Patterson is iffy.

  23. German Cowboys says:

    I do not agree on G. Bernard being No.1 . He is just a complement RB, he won’t be a every down back in Cincy. He is brought in to play a kind of role like Sporles. They want to use his explosiveness, even he is slower than Spiller, he is a good open-field runner, so the Bengals want to create mismatches by using Bernard like on screen passes etc. btw.: he is not the best pass- blocker, he needs to be coached up.

    Montee Ball landed in a perfect situation. McGahee is old, Hillman is not the guy ( he will be used in screen plays too). Ball will be the primer runner and will score alot on an explosive offense, for sure in goal-line downs, when the Broncos won’t risk Manning to be sacked or hit for injuries. besides having a TD-threat runner in Ball, this would open the short TD-passing in the redzone for Broncos.

    Bell landed in a good situation too in Pitts, but i doubt the O-line here. i am confident that Bell will be the workhorse for the Steelers, but have no confidence that he will see too much room to run.

    Patterson needs some time to deliver, but in dynasty we should have some time to invest in such explosive playmaker. i could see him explode once coached up in 2 years time. remember even T. Ownes and even Megatron did nothing in their rookie season, we cannot expect AJ Green stats for every rookie WR.

    Lacey comes with some question marks. Being drafted by the Packers, is a huge plus. He will get every opportunity to be the lead-back., but will he stay healthy and could Franklin battle him for reps?? i guess Lacey makes a nice short term impact for owners , who are in position to win now, longterm he won’t be a top 10 runner in the NFL.

    Austin landed in a nice situation as well, he might be the best rookie WR in short term , but Patterson will take over in long term.

    Hopkins could be a factor for the Texans for now, but if i look over the Texans in long term, i see a QB, who already reached his ceiling and could be replaced in couple of years. Andre Johnson won’t play for ever and Forster is due to break down ( just my gut- feeling ), so i cannot see Hopkins being top 10 rookie in long term.

    so my top rookies in short term:

    Ball
    Austin
    Bell
    Bernard
    Hopkins
    Lacey

    in long term:

    Patterson
    Austin
    Ball
    Bernard
    Bell

  24. Robbo says:

    Would u guys ditch Crabtree for pick 10

  25. J A Brooks says:

    I wouldve said no. Obviiusly if Lacy or a top 5 RB was available its different but not a good move to make prior to being on the clock seeing what’s there

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