22 Responses to “IDP Dynasty Mock Draft Analysis”

  1. Greg G. says:

    What did you think of Richardsons pro day? Hearing Tampa really likes him. Assuming he lands there how does Blount factor in? Thanks for the article!

  2. Krcil says:

    One curious thing i noticed is that Mario Williams was not selected in these top 10. With all things considered like his previous injury and his new team. Why did he drop out of the top 10 rounds? Was he listed as a straight LB (not like Suggs who is DE/LB)?

    • He’s listed as an LB and it was before he signed anywhere. Jene Bramel played it well and selected him a few days before he signed. Great foresight by Jene on that one since he’ll be DE eligible.

      Re: Richardson. Still clearly the #1 rookie (to me). I took the 1.01 and that’s exactly where I’m going with it.

    • Ken Kelly says:

      Actually, that’s my bad on the classification issue. It’s fixed now. Suggs was actually listed as a DE and Ware as a LB, so that makes a difference. I had assumed they were listed as a hybrid in the database used.

      Mario Williams was taken at pick 13.03 as a LB by Jene Bramel. He said the following when made the pick prior to free agency:

      “A bit of a gamble here, but I’m fully expecting Williams to sign with a 4-3 team and be re-classified to DE. When that happens, he’s capable of 45+ solos and an absolute steal eight rounds after the elite DEs went off the board.”

  3. Cyrus says:

    6.05 Denarius Moore, WR OAK
    6.06 Rookie 1.03
    6.07 Terrell Suggs, DE BAL
    6.08 Justin Tuck, DE NYG
    6.09 Julius Peppers, DE CHI
    6.10 Rookie 1.04
    6.11 Patrick Willis, LB SF
    6.12 Demaryius Thomas, WR DEN

    Seriously? Moore before Thomas? Moore before the 1.03? I’m confused by this.

    • Sensei_John_Kreese says:

      Yeah, im with you there. Actually, there is a ton here that i don’t get.

      Gronkowski at 1.7, and Hernandez at 5.3

      Vincent FREAKING Jackson over Trent Richardson???

      Stevie Johnson over the 1.2?

      Denarius Moore and Justin Tuck over Justin Blackmon

      In the words of Vince Lombardi…”what the hell is goin on here??”

      • Hernandez CLEARLY has nagging injury issues, which scares some people away. I would have selected him as my #2 if it was a 1.5 or we could start more than 3 TEs (I was targeting F.Davis or Celek later at that point).

        Gronk pick was because he’s a difference maker that I know will be around for almost 10 years (a la Tony G) and the lack of that remaining at that spot as compared to what was remaining on the board and would fall to the next pick.

        Agree on VJax. I was thrilled to land TRich.

        Stevie J over the 1.02 — QBs are on the hit list next in the rookie draft and they were falling like lead. There are 2 solid rookie QBs and I wanted one. Took Stevie J because I didn’t want to roll with only rookies (have you SEEN my roster and the number of rookie picks I acquired – 1.01, 1.03). Needed a solid #2WR well before another rookie to add. I want to compete year 1, as well, as grab solid rookies so another rookie pick didn’t make sense.

        I have an article coming that’ll explain the complete thought process of my 42 round draft and how I saw the board fall and tendencies that I took advantage of/missed out on.

        • Chris R says:

          I don’t agree that Hernandez has nagging injury issues. Missed two games with a knee sprain last year but didn’t bother him later in the season.

          Infact, if he had not missed those games, and did not need a few games to get back up to speed, he would have easily exceed 1000 yards receiving and had another 1-3 TDs.

          Much better value than the Gronk pick. Even Gronk was pick Aaron as the 2012 breakout TE on the NFL network (taking that with a grain of teammate salt).

        • Sensei_John_Kreese says:

          Agree to disagree on Hernandez, the number 3 TE in fantasy last year.

          As far as Stevie goes…I’m a Bills fan. I’ve always thought he was overrated. I think best case scenario, he gets you 1100 or so yards receiving. It’s just that Andrew Luck is, as you know, a once in a lifetime prospect. I’d rather have Blackmon than SJ. I’ve been wrong before though.

          • I wouldn’t prefer Blackmon over SJ at this point. SJ any day. Blackmon is very overrated right now.

            With the 1.03 – getting Luck or Griffin, regardless. I’ll take Griffin/SJ over Luck/Blackmon in any situation (but again.. I’m not a huge Blackmon guy).

            FWIW, Hernandez is my #3 TE. I’m just giving some insight into the perception of others on the nagging injuries and why he slipped. I’ve heard it in trade offers and read it on message board. Big fan of the guy… while he only missed the games you noted, he’s certainly played through some nagging injuries. As I noted above, no way I was going to take another TE at that point given its 1 ppr and only 2 can be started. He was a solid value pick, I certainly can’t disagree with that.

            Gronk was the best pick at that spot in the first from my perspective. Offered the most consistency, longevity, and still very young.

      • Also, if you look at the date, the Demaryius pick was well before Manning in Denver. I imagine a bit increase in DT’s stock in startups.

        • Cyrus says:

          I can understand a little bit that this was before Manning.

          But Thomas is still a much bigger stud to me than Moore, even if both had Manning throwing to them.

          Maybe I am just down on Moore, I think he is an excellent upside flyer, but not someone I am building my team around. Now I have to hunt through my dynasties and see which ones I have him in.

          • I have Thomas ahead of Moore regardless as well, but I think before Manning it’s a heck of a lot closer.

            And as Chris says below. Bloom is a HUGE Moore fan.

          • Cyrus says:

            Well I checked in my forum and a few people have top ten or top fifteen predictions for Moore. Didn’t realize his hype was that high.

            I am still hoping DHB does something, he looked good last year too, but I was happy to find Moore stashed on two of my dynasties.

          • Ches says:

            I’d take Decker over Thomas or Moore. No real difference in age, and a superior route-runner (You know Manning will LOVE that!), I think Decker has potential to become to a 10 or 15 receiver this season. I see Thomas landing much lower in the rack and stack. And I don’t think Moore will have much of an immediate impact.

    • Chris R says:

      Sigmond Bloom loves Denarius Moore.

      Can’t argue that he has some serious play making ability…just inconsistent last year.

  4. Sensei_John_Kreese says:

    I’m sorry to keep coming back to this, but i have to ask, because i don’t understand. Why is everyone so down on Justin Blackmon right now? I’m not suggesting that he is AJ Green or Larry Fitzgerald, but I’m not seeing anything in his college career that would give people a reason to not be on board with this guy.

    Also, Steve, i wasn’t knocking Gronk at 1.7. I was simply wondering why there was a 4 round discrepancy between he and Hernandez. You’ve already given YOUR reason for not drafting him, but someone should have.

    • I don’t disagree with you there. He certainly shouldn’t have fallen the way he did. +1

    • Re: Blackmon

      He has fantastic college production, but he’s not elite in any area. He’s solid all around, but not the same prospect of say Calvin, Andre Johnson, AJ Green, Julio Jones, etc. and he’s being considered at their draft level from a draft slot position.

  5. Greg G. says:

    I’ve heard that his speed isn’t elite, he doesn’t have the height, and he takes plays off. I don’t think people are arguing his first round talent. It’s just that early on, draftniks were touting him as the next Calvin Johnson which is IRRESPONSIBLE. What were seeing now is a regression to the mean, a step closer to reality.

  6. Matt says:

    Was Matt Ryan drafted at all?

    Thought he would be in the first 8 rounds easy.

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